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Louisville at Boston Col
Sat Oct 1, 2022
12:00pm ET
Chestnut Hill, MA
Louisville at Boston Col: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Louisville by 13.5, Total Points: 48.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | LOU | adv | BC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-8-0 | 5-8-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-5-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | L3 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 5-2-0 | 1-6-0 | |
| Away | 1-6-0 | 4-2-0 |
Louisville Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01 | Neutral | GA Tech | -7.0 | W by 5 | -2.0 |
| 09/07 | Home | Murray St | -43.5 | W by 56 | +12.5 |
| 09/16 | Neutral | Indiana | -10.0 | W by 7 | -3.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Boston Col | -14.0 | W by 28 | +14.0 |
| 09/29 | Away | NC State | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Notre Dame | +6.5 | W by 13 | +19.5 |
| 10/14 | Away | Pittsburgh | -7.0 | L by 17 | -24.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Duke | -5.0 | W by 23 | +18.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | VA Tech | -9.0 | W by 31 | +22.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | Virginia | -20.0 | W by 7 | -13.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Miami | (Pick) | W by 7 | +7.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Kentucky | -7.5 | L by 7 | -14.5 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Florida St | -1.0 | L by 10 | -11.0 |
| 12/27 | Neutral | USC | -5.0 | L by 14 | -19.0 |
Boston Col Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | N Illinois | -8.0 | L by 3 | -11.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Holy Cross | -10.5 | W by 3 | -7.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Florida St | +25.5 | L by 2 | +23.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | Louisville | +14.0 | L by 28 | -14.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Virginia | -5.5 | W by 3 | -2.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Army | +2.5 | W by 3 | +5.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | GA Tech | +6.0 | W by 15 | +21.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Connecticut | -14.5 | W by 7 | -7.5 |
| 11/03 | Away | Syracuse | +1.5 | W by 7 | +8.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | VA Tech | +3.0 | L by 26 | -23.0 |
| 11/16 | Away | Pittsburgh | +2.5 | L by 8 | -5.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Miami | +10.0 | L by 25 | -15.0 |
| 12/28 | Neutral | S Methodist | +13.5 | W by 9 | +22.5 |
| LOU -13.5 | Open | -14.5 | High | -16.5 |
| Last | -14.0 | Low | -13.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 college football season there have been 149 games where the closing line favored the away team by 12.5 to 14.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Louisville won the game 124 times (83.2%).
- The team like Boston College won the game 25 times (16.8%).
- The team like Louisville did better against the spread, going 77-70-2 (52.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 college football season there have been 384 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Boston College did better against the spread, going 195-184-5 (51.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -13.5 | -13.5 | -- |
| Open | -15.5 | -16.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/01 12:02 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 11:23 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 11:08 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 10:34 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 10/01 10:20 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 10:04 AM | -- | -13.0 | -- |
| 10/01 09:20 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 09:08 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 07:50 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 05:56 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 12:50 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 06:47 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 01:41 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 12:59 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 11:54 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/30 11:34 AM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 09/30 11:29 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 10:24 AM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 09/30 08:50 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 09:04 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 09/29 02:54 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 09/29 02:44 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 08:53 AM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 03:47 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 04:32 AM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 07:08 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 03:14 PM | -- | -15.5 | -- |
| 09/26 12:41 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 08:17 AM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 08:10 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 06:43 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 05:16 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 05:14 PM | -- | -16.0 | -- |
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