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Louisville at Pittsburgh
Sat Sep 26, 2020
12:00pm ET
Pittsburgh, PA
Louisville at Pittsburgh: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Pittsburgh by 3, Total Points: 53.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | LOU | adv | PITT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-8-0 | 4-8-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-5-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | L3 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 5-2-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| Away | 1-6-0 | 0-6-0 |
Louisville Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01 | Neutral | GA Tech | -7.0 | W by 5 | -2.0 |
| 09/07 | Home | Murray St | -43.5 | W by 56 | +12.5 |
| 09/16 | Neutral | Indiana | -10.0 | W by 7 | -3.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Boston Col | -14.0 | W by 28 | +14.0 |
| 09/29 | Away | NC State | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Notre Dame | +6.5 | W by 13 | +19.5 |
| 10/14 | Away | Pittsburgh | -7.0 | L by 17 | -24.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Duke | -5.0 | W by 23 | +18.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | VA Tech | -9.0 | W by 31 | +22.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | Virginia | -20.0 | W by 7 | -13.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Miami | (Pick) | W by 7 | +7.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Kentucky | -7.5 | L by 7 | -14.5 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Florida St | -1.0 | L by 10 | -11.0 |
| 12/27 | Neutral | USC | -5.0 | L by 14 | -19.0 |
Pittsburgh Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Wofford | -37.5 | W by 38 | +0.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Cincinnati | -6.5 | L by 6 | -12.5 |
| 09/16 | Away | W Virginia | +2.5 | L by 11 | -8.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | N Carolina | +7.0 | L by 17 | -10.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | VA Tech | -3.0 | L by 17 | -20.0 |
| 10/14 | Home | Louisville | +7.0 | W by 17 | +24.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | Wake Forest | -2.5 | L by 4 | -6.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Notre Dame | +21.0 | L by 51 | -30.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Florida St | +20.5 | L by 17 | +3.5 |
| 11/11 | Neutral | Syracuse | -3.5 | L by 15 | -18.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | Boston Col | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Duke | +4.5 | L by 11 | -6.5 |
| PITT -3.0 | Open | -3.5 | High | -3.5 |
| Last | -2.5 | Low | -2.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 college football season there have been 332 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2 to 4 points. In these games:
- The team like Pittsburgh won the game 193 times (58.1%).
- The team like Louisville won the game 139 times (41.9%).
- The team like Louisville did better against the spread, going 170-150-12 (53.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 college football season there have been 7 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Pittsburgh went 3-3-1 (50.0% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.0 | -3.0 | -- |
| Open | -3.5 | -3.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 09/26 12:04 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/26 11:56 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 11:54 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/26 11:26 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 10:59 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 10:54 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/26 10:24 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/26 10:08 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 09:34 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/26 09:24 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/26 09:17 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 08:59 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 08:14 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/26 08:02 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 07:59 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 06:54 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/26 05:34 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/26 05:23 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 04:24 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/26 03:35 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 03:14 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/26 01:59 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 10:41 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 10:34 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/25 10:14 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/25 08:59 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 06:14 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/25 05:38 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 04:14 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/25 03:04 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/25 01:54 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/25 01:24 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/25 12:54 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/25 11:14 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/25 10:14 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/25 09:04 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/25 08:34 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/25 07:24 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/25 06:44 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/24 09:14 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/24 08:44 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/24 05:14 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/24 04:44 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/24 04:14 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/24 03:08 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 10:11 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 07:23 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 04:04 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/23 03:44 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 01:29 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 11:53 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 11:47 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 10:38 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 08:05 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/22 05:24 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/22 05:11 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/22 02:44 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/22 02:17 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/22 11:54 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/22 11:04 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/22 10:54 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/22 10:14 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/22 10:05 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/22 09:44 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/21 11:20 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 09:34 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/21 09:02 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 06:44 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/21 05:34 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/21 02:53 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 11:54 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/21 11:47 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 11:04 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 09/21 10:53 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 05:43 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 09/20 05:32 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
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