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Ball St at Toledo
Sat Nov 28, 2020
12:00pm ET
Toledo, OH
Ball St at Toledo: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Toledo by 10, Total Points: 67
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | BALL | adv | TOL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-4-1 | 7-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-2-0 | 4-5-0 | |
| Streak | W6 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 5-1-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| Away | 2-3-1 | 4-4-0 |
Ball St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | Kentucky | +25.5 | L by 30 | -4.5 |
| 09/09 | Away | Georgia | +42.0 | L by 42 | 0.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Indiana St | -26.5 | W by 38 | +11.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | GA Southern | +5.5 | L by 37 | -31.5 |
| 09/30 | Away | W Michigan | +1.5 | L by 18 | -16.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | E Michigan | +2.0 | L by 14 | -12.0 |
| 10/14 | Home | Toledo | +17.5 | L by 7 | +10.5 |
| 10/21 | Home | Central Mich | +5.5 | W by 7 | +12.5 |
| 11/01 | Away | Bowling Grn | +5.0 | L by 3 | +2.0 |
| 11/07 | Away | N Illinois | +9.0 | W by 3 | +12.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Kent St | -10.5 | W by 31 | +20.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Miami (OH) | +4.0 | L by 2 | +2.0 |
Toledo Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | Illinois | +7.5 | L by 2 | +5.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Texas Southern | -40.0 | W by 68 | +28.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | San Jose St | -9.0 | W by 4 | -5.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | W Michigan | -21.5 | W by 18 | -3.5 |
| 09/30 | Home | N Illinois | -13.5 | W by 2 | -11.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | U Mass | -19.0 | W by 17 | -2.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | Ball St | -17.5 | W by 7 | -10.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Miami (OH) | -2.5 | W by 4 | +1.5 |
| 10/31 | Home | Buffalo | -14.5 | W by 18 | +3.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | E Michigan | -20.0 | W by 26 | +6.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Bowling Grn | -10.0 | W by 1 | -9.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Central Mich | -10.0 | W by 15 | +5.0 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Miami (OH) | -6.5 | L by 9 | -15.5 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Wyoming | +5.0 | L by 1 | +4.0 |
| TOL -10.0 | Open | -8.5 | High | -10.0 |
| Last | -9.5 | Low | -8.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 college football season there have been 238 games where the closing line favored the home team by 8.5 to 10.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Toledo won the game 173 times (72.7%).
- The team like Ball State won the game 65 times (27.3%).
- The team like Ball State did better against the spread, going 126-110-2 (53.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 college football season there have been 56 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Ball State did better against the spread, going 34-21-1 (61.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.7 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -10.0 | -10.0 | -- |
| Open | -8.5 | -8.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/28 12:02 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 11:56 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 11:32 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 11:14 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 10:47 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 09:44 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 09:23 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 08:56 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 08:14 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 04:44 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 03:23 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 11:06 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 09:14 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 11/27 09:04 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 11/27 08:44 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 11/27 08:14 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 11/27 07:24 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 11/27 06:54 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 11/27 06:44 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 11/27 04:34 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 11/27 04:04 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 11/27 03:56 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 02:14 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 12:17 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 10:29 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 10:14 AM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 11/27 09:26 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/26 10:34 AM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 11/26 08:25 AM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 11/26 08:20 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/26 08:08 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 06:38 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 01:20 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 11:23 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 10:35 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 10:34 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 11/23 10:23 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 05:34 PM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 11/23 05:23 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 08:44 AM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 11/23 08:32 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 08:24 AM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 11/23 08:17 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 01:54 AM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 11/23 01:38 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 09:54 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 11/22 09:04 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 11/22 08:59 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 08:41 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 07:24 PM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 11/22 06:44 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 11/22 06:34 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 04:54 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 11/22 04:40 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
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