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Louisville at NC State
Sat Oct 30, 2021
7:30pm ET
Raleigh, NC
Louisville at NC State: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: NC State by 6, Total Points: 57
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | LOU | adv | NCST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-8-0 | 7-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-5-0 | 6-2-0 | |
| Streak | L3 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 5-2-0 | 5-2-0 | |
| Away | 1-6-0 | 2-4-0 |
Louisville Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01 | Neutral | GA Tech | -7.0 | W by 5 | -2.0 |
| 09/07 | Home | Murray St | -43.5 | W by 56 | +12.5 |
| 09/16 | Neutral | Indiana | -10.0 | W by 7 | -3.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Boston Col | -14.0 | W by 28 | +14.0 |
| 09/29 | Away | NC State | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Notre Dame | +6.5 | W by 13 | +19.5 |
| 10/14 | Away | Pittsburgh | -7.0 | L by 17 | -24.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Duke | -5.0 | W by 23 | +18.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | VA Tech | -9.0 | W by 31 | +22.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | Virginia | -20.0 | W by 7 | -13.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Miami | (Pick) | W by 7 | +7.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Kentucky | -7.5 | L by 7 | -14.5 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Florida St | -1.0 | L by 10 | -11.0 |
| 12/27 | Neutral | USC | -5.0 | L by 14 | -19.0 |
NC State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/31 | Away | Connecticut | -14.5 | W by 10 | -4.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Notre Dame | +7.0 | L by 21 | -14.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | VA Military | -43.0 | W by 38 | -5.0 |
| 09/22 | Away | Virginia | -7.5 | W by 3 | -4.5 |
| 09/29 | Home | Louisville | +3.5 | L by 3 | +0.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Marshall | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 10/14 | Away | Duke | +3.5 | L by 21 | -17.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Clemson | +10.0 | W by 7 | +17.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Miami | +6.5 | W by 14 | +20.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Wake Forest | -2.0 | W by 20 | +18.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | VA Tech | +2.5 | W by 7 | +9.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | N Carolina | +2.5 | W by 19 | +21.5 |
| 12/28 | Neutral | Kansas St | +3.0 | L by 9 | -6.0 |
| NCST -6.0 | Open | -7.0 | High | -7.0 |
| Last | -6.5 | Low | -6.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 274 games where the closing line favored the home team by 5 to 7 points. In these games:
- The team like NC State won the game 182 times (66.4%).
- The team like Louisville won the game 92 times (33.6%).
- The team like Louisville did better against the spread, going 148-117-9 (55.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.7 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 429 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Louisville did better against the spread, going 214-208-7 (50.7% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -6.0 | -6.0 | -- |
| Open | -7.0 | -7.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/30 07:23 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 07:04 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 10/30 06:38 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 05:04 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 10/30 04:34 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 10/30 04:23 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 03:54 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 10/30 03:47 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 01:44 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 10/30 11:44 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 10/30 09:41 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 08:40 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 08:24 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 10/30 08:20 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 02:05 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 07:38 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 02:41 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 08:35 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/28 06:53 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/28 05:53 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/28 12:24 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 10/27 10:44 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/27 08:02 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 04:15 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 10/26 12:29 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 04:45 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/25 07:54 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/25 06:54 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/25 06:44 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 10:54 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/25 08:44 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/25 08:26 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 05:31 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 05:04 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 04:44 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/24 04:31 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
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