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Nebraska at Purdue
Sat Oct 15, 2022
7:30pm ET
West Lafayette, IN
Nebraska at Purdue: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Purdue by 14, Total Points: 56
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NEB | adv | PUR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-7-1 | 4-8-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-1 | 3-6-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 1-3-1 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-6-1 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 2-5-0 | 2-5-0 | |
| Away | 2-2-1 | 2-3-0 |
Nebraska Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/31 | Away | Minnesota | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
| 09/09 | Away | Colorado | +2.5 | L by 22 | -19.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | N Illinois | -11.5 | W by 24 | +12.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | LA Tech | -20.0 | W by 14 | -6.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Michigan | +17.5 | L by 38 | -20.5 |
| 10/06 | Away | Illinois | +3.0 | W by 13 | +16.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Northwestern | -10.5 | W by 8 | -2.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Purdue | +1.5 | W by 17 | +18.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | Michigan St | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Maryland | +1.5 | L by 3 | -1.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Wisconsin | +7.0 | L by 7 | 0.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Iowa | -2.5 | L by 3 | -5.5 |
Purdue Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Fresno St | -4.0 | L by 4 | -8.0 |
| 09/09 | Away | VA Tech | +1.0 | W by 7 | +8.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Syracuse | +1.0 | L by 15 | -14.0 |
| 09/22 | Home | Wisconsin | +6.0 | L by 21 | -15.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Illinois | +1.0 | W by 25 | +26.0 |
| 10/07 | Away | Iowa | +2.0 | L by 6 | -4.0 |
| 10/14 | Home | Ohio St | +17.0 | L by 34 | -17.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | Nebraska | -1.5 | L by 17 | -18.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | Michigan | +31.0 | L by 28 | +3.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Minnesota | +2.0 | W by 19 | +21.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Northwestern | +2.5 | L by 8 | -5.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Indiana | -6.5 | W by 4 | -2.5 |
| PUR -14.0 | Open | -11.0 | High | -14.0 |
| Last | -13.5 | Low | -11.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 college football season there have been 235 games where the closing line favored the home team by 13 to 15 points. In these games:
- The team like Purdue won the game 192 times (81.7%).
- The team like Nebraska won the game 43 times (18.3%).
- The team like Nebraska did better against the spread, going 119-112-4 (51.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.8 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 college football season there have been 99 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 3 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Nebraska did better against the spread, going 54-45 (54.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.0 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -14.0 | -14.0 | -- |
| Open | -10.5 | -12.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/15 07:23 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 06:37 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 06:10 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 03:20 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 01:56 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 12:56 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 11:47 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 11:35 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 09:35 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 08:26 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 06:32 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 02:27 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 06:14 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 02:17 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 01:56 PM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 10/14 11:11 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 08:29 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/13 11:14 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 10/12 05:49 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 01:08 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 08:11 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 04:05 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 03:25 PM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 10/11 10:41 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 08:14 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 07:29 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 06:54 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 10/10 06:29 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 03:26 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 10:34 AM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 10/10 10:22 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 08:45 AM | -- | -13.0 | -- |
| 10/10 08:28 AM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/09 08:52 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/09 07:56 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/09 06:34 PM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 10/09 06:04 PM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 10/09 05:34 PM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 10/09 05:24 PM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 10/09 03:52 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
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