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Nebraska at Minnesota
Sat Oct 16, 2021
12:00pm ET
Minneapolis, MN
Nebraska at Minnesota: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Nebraska by 4.5, Total Points: 48.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NEB | adv | MINN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-7-1 | 4-9-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-1 | 2-7-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-3-1 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-6-1 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 2-5-0 | 2-5-0 | |
| Away | 2-2-1 | 2-4-0 |
Nebraska Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/31 | Away | Minnesota | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
| 09/09 | Away | Colorado | +2.5 | L by 22 | -19.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | N Illinois | -11.5 | W by 24 | +12.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | LA Tech | -20.0 | W by 14 | -6.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Michigan | +17.5 | L by 38 | -20.5 |
| 10/06 | Away | Illinois | +3.0 | W by 13 | +16.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Northwestern | -10.5 | W by 8 | -2.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Purdue | +1.5 | W by 17 | +18.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | Michigan St | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Maryland | +1.5 | L by 3 | -1.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Wisconsin | +7.0 | L by 7 | 0.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Iowa | -2.5 | L by 3 | -5.5 |
Minnesota Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/31 | Home | Nebraska | -7.5 | W by 3 | -4.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | E Michigan | -20.0 | W by 19 | -1.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | N Carolina | +7.0 | L by 18 | -11.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Northwestern | -12.0 | L by 3 | -15.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Louisiana | -9.0 | W by 11 | +2.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | Michigan | +19.0 | L by 42 | -23.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | Iowa | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Michigan St | -6.5 | W by 15 | +8.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Illinois | -2.5 | L by 1 | -3.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Purdue | -2.0 | L by 19 | -21.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Ohio St | +27.5 | L by 34 | -6.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Wisconsin | +3.0 | L by 14 | -11.0 |
| 12/26 | Neutral | Bowling Grn | -2.0 | W by 6 | +4.0 |
| NEB -4.5 | Open | -2.5 | High | -4.5 |
| Last | -4.0 | Low | -2.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 220 games where the closing line favored the away team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Nebraska won the game 136 times (61.8%).
- The team like Minnesota won the game 84 times (38.2%).
- The team like Minnesota did better against the spread, going 114-105-1 (52.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 228 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Nebraska did better against the spread, going 118-108-2 (52.2% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.0 | -4.5 | -- |
| Open | -2.0 | -2.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/16 12:24 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 10:41 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 09:56 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 09:08 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 08:13 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 06:44 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 06:23 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 03:47 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 02:14 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 10:35 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 09:41 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 05:34 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 10/14 03:38 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/13 06:29 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/13 02:11 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/13 01:32 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/13 08:05 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 03:14 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/12 03:05 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 05:34 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/12 01:53 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 05:32 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 05:20 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 03:24 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/11 01:34 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/11 01:26 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 12:55 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/11 12:34 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/11 11:54 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/11 11:29 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 09:26 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 02:34 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 05:34 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 10/10 04:28 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 04:05 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 03:38 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
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