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Nebraska at Michigan
Sat Nov 12, 2022
3:30pm ET
Ann Arbor, MI
Nebraska at Michigan: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Michigan by 30.5, Total Points: 49.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NEB | adv | MICH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-7-1 | 9-5-1 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-1 | 7-2-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | W4 | |
| Last 5 | 1-3-1 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-6-1 | 8-2-0 | |
| Home | 2-5-0 | 2-4-1 | |
| Away | 2-2-1 | 7-1-0 |
Nebraska Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/31 | Away | Minnesota | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
| 09/09 | Away | Colorado | +2.5 | L by 22 | -19.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | N Illinois | -11.5 | W by 24 | +12.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | LA Tech | -20.0 | W by 14 | -6.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Michigan | +17.5 | L by 38 | -20.5 |
| 10/06 | Away | Illinois | +3.0 | W by 13 | +16.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Northwestern | -10.5 | W by 8 | -2.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Purdue | +1.5 | W by 17 | +18.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | Michigan St | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Maryland | +1.5 | L by 3 | -1.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Wisconsin | +7.0 | L by 7 | 0.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Iowa | -2.5 | L by 3 | -5.5 |
Michigan Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | E Carolina | -35.5 | W by 27 | -8.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | UNLV | -38.0 | W by 28 | -10.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Bowling Grn | -41.0 | W by 25 | -16.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Rutgers | -24.0 | W by 24 | 0.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Nebraska | -17.5 | W by 38 | +20.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Minnesota | -19.0 | W by 42 | +23.0 |
| 10/14 | Home | Indiana | -32.5 | W by 45 | +12.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Michigan St | -25.5 | W by 49 | +23.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Purdue | -31.0 | W by 28 | -3.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Penn St | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Maryland | -17.5 | W by 7 | -10.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Ohio St | -3.0 | W by 6 | +3.0 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Iowa | -21.5 | W by 26 | +4.5 |
| 01/01 | Neutral | Alabama | -2.0 | W by 7 | +5.0 |
| 01/08 | Neutral | Washington | -5.5 | W by 21 | +15.5 |
| MICH -30.5 | Open | -11.0 | High | -31.0 |
| Last | -31.0 | Low | -11.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 college football season there have been 49 games where the closing line favored the home team by 29.5 to 31.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Michigan won the game 46 times (93.9%).
- The team like Nebraska won the game 3 times (6.1%).
- The team like Michigan did better against the spread, going 27-20-2 (57.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 college football season there have been 238 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Michigan did better against the spread, going 119-116-3 (50.6% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -31.0 | -31.0 | -- |
| Open | -29.0 | -28.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/12 03:34 PM | -- | -31.0 | -- |
| 11/12 03:29 PM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 03:05 PM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 02:54 PM | -- | -30.5 | -- |
| 11/12 02:44 PM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 02:34 PM | -- | -31.0 | -- |
| 11/12 01:59 PM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 11:47 AM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 11:23 AM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 09:59 AM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 09:56 AM | -- | -30.5 | -- |
| 11/12 08:38 AM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 08:14 AM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/11 11:47 PM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/11 02:16 PM | -- | -30.0 | -- |
| 11/11 12:54 PM | -- | -30.0 | -- |
| 11/11 12:38 PM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/10 11:32 PM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/10 04:26 PM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/10 12:02 PM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/10 11:53 AM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 02:29 PM | -30.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 02:04 PM | -- | -31.0 | -- |
| 11/09 12:44 PM | -- | -31.5 | -- |
| 11/09 12:35 PM | -- | -30.5 | -- |
| 11/09 12:35 PM | -30.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 11:20 AM | -29.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 08:24 AM | -- | -29.0 | -- |
| 11/09 08:06 AM | -29.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/08 05:17 PM | -29.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/08 04:35 PM | -28.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/08 12:50 PM | -29.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/08 11:05 AM | -- | -29.5 | -- |
| 11/08 12:06 AM | -29.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/07 02:38 PM | -29.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/07 11:23 AM | -29.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/07 10:20 AM | -29.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/07 09:59 AM | -28.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/07 08:44 AM | -29.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/07 07:24 AM | -- | -29.0 | -- |
| 11/06 05:54 PM | -- | -28.5 | -- |
| 11/06 05:34 PM | -- | -28.0 | -- |
| 11/06 05:20 PM | -29.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/06 05:08 PM | -29.0 | -- | -- |
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