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Alabama at Miss State
Sat Nov 16, 2019
12:00pm ET
Starkville, MS
Alabama at Miss State: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Alabama by 19, Total Points: 61.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ALA | adv | MSST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-5-0 | 3-8-1 | |
| vs Conference | 7-2-0 | 1-6-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | P1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-3-1 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 2-7-1 | |
| Home | 5-2-0 | 2-5-1 | |
| Away | 4-3-0 | 1-3-0 |
Alabama Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Middle Tenn | -39.0 | W by 49 | +10.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Texas | -7.0 | L by 10 | -17.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | S Florida | -34.5 | W by 14 | -20.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | Mississippi | -7.0 | W by 14 | +7.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Miss State | -16.5 | W by 23 | +6.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Texas A&M | -2.5 | W by 6 | +3.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | Arkansas | -19.0 | W by 3 | -16.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Tennessee | -8.5 | W by 14 | +5.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | LSU | -3.0 | W by 14 | +11.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Kentucky | -10.5 | W by 28 | +17.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Chattanooga | -44.0 | W by 56 | +12.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Auburn | -13.5 | W by 3 | -10.5 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Georgia | +5.5 | W by 3 | +8.5 |
| 01/01 | Neutral | Michigan | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
Miss State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | SE Louisiana | -31.5 | W by 41 | +9.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Arizona | -9.0 | W by 7 | -2.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | LSU | +9.5 | L by 27 | -17.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | S Carolina | +6.0 | L by 7 | -1.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Alabama | +16.5 | L by 23 | -6.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | W Michigan | -21.5 | W by 13 | -8.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Arkansas | +7.0 | W by 4 | +11.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | Auburn | +6.5 | L by 14 | -7.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Kentucky | +5.5 | L by 21 | -15.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Texas A&M | +16.5 | L by 41 | -24.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | S Mississippi | -18.5 | W by 21 | +2.5 |
| 11/23 | Home | Mississippi | +10.0 | L by 10 | 0.0 |
| ALA -19.0 | Open | -21.0 | High | -21.5 |
| Last | -17.5 | Low | -17.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 41 games where the closing line favored the away team by 18 to 20 points. In these games:
- The team like Alabama won the game 38 times (92.7%).
- The team like Mississippi State won the game 3 times (7.3%).
- The team like Alabama did better against the spread, going 24-16-1 (60.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 3.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 253 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 124-123-6 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -19.0 | -20.5 | -- |
| Open | -19.5 | -19.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/16 11:59 AM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 11:54 AM | -- | -20.5 | -- |
| 11/16 11:49 AM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 11:44 AM | -- | -19.5 | -- |
| 11/16 11:16 AM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 11:14 AM | -- | -19.0 | -- |
| 11/16 10:33 AM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 10:09 AM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 09:05 AM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 09:04 AM | -- | -18.5 | -- |
| 11/16 09:00 AM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 07:26 AM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 07:24 AM | -- | -19.5 | -- |
| 11/16 07:06 AM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 06:14 AM | -- | -19.0 | -- |
| 11/16 05:16 AM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 04:13 AM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 03:04 AM | -- | -18.5 | -- |
| 11/16 02:50 AM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/15 10:25 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/15 04:46 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/15 04:03 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/15 03:46 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/15 02:59 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/15 02:04 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/15 01:04 AM | -- | -18.5 | -- |
| 11/15 12:37 AM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/14 09:02 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/14 08:28 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/14 06:26 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/14 06:01 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/14 11:27 AM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/13 04:41 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/13 03:07 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/13 01:44 PM | -- | -17.5 | -- |
| 11/13 01:04 PM | -- | -18.0 | -- |
| 11/13 12:34 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/13 12:05 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/13 08:03 AM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 10:14 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 09:24 PM | -- | -20.0 | -- |
| 11/12 09:02 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 07:44 PM | -- | -20.5 | -- |
| 11/12 06:45 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 06:24 PM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 11/12 05:24 PM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 11/12 05:12 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 04:44 PM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 11/12 04:27 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 04:14 PM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 09:31 AM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/11 03:55 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/11 03:34 PM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 11/11 03:14 PM | -- | -20.5 | -- |
| 11/11 02:55 PM | -20.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/11 12:34 PM | -20.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/11 12:14 PM | -- | -20.5 | -- |
| 11/11 09:04 AM | -- | -20.0 | -- |
| 11/11 08:57 AM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/10 06:44 PM | -- | -19.5 | -- |
| 11/10 06:32 PM | -19.5 | -- | -- |
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