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Alabama at Miss State
Sat Oct 16, 2021
7:00pm ET
Starkville, MS
Alabama at Miss State: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Alabama by 17.5, Total Points: 59.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ALA | adv | MSST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-5-0 | 3-8-1 | |
| vs Conference | 7-2-0 | 1-6-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | P1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-3-1 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 2-7-1 | |
| Home | 5-2-0 | 2-5-1 | |
| Away | 4-3-0 | 1-3-0 |
Alabama Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Middle Tenn | -39.0 | W by 49 | +10.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Texas | -7.0 | L by 10 | -17.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | S Florida | -34.5 | W by 14 | -20.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | Mississippi | -7.0 | W by 14 | +7.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Miss State | -16.5 | W by 23 | +6.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Texas A&M | -2.5 | W by 6 | +3.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | Arkansas | -19.0 | W by 3 | -16.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Tennessee | -8.5 | W by 14 | +5.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | LSU | -3.0 | W by 14 | +11.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Kentucky | -10.5 | W by 28 | +17.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Chattanooga | -44.0 | W by 56 | +12.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Auburn | -13.5 | W by 3 | -10.5 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Georgia | +5.5 | W by 3 | +8.5 |
| 01/01 | Neutral | Michigan | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
Miss State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | SE Louisiana | -31.5 | W by 41 | +9.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Arizona | -9.0 | W by 7 | -2.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | LSU | +9.5 | L by 27 | -17.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | S Carolina | +6.0 | L by 7 | -1.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Alabama | +16.5 | L by 23 | -6.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | W Michigan | -21.5 | W by 13 | -8.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Arkansas | +7.0 | W by 4 | +11.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | Auburn | +6.5 | L by 14 | -7.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Kentucky | +5.5 | L by 21 | -15.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Texas A&M | +16.5 | L by 41 | -24.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | S Mississippi | -18.5 | W by 21 | +2.5 |
| 11/23 | Home | Mississippi | +10.0 | L by 10 | 0.0 |
| ALA -17.5 | Open | -21.0 | High | -21.0 |
| Last | -17.0 | Low | -16.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 89 games where the closing line favored the away team by 16.5 to 18.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Alabama won the game 81 times (91.0%).
- The team like Mississippi State won the game 8 times (9.0%).
- The team like Alabama did better against the spread, going 54-32-3 (62.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.0 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 93 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 3.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Alabama did better against the spread, going 48-42-3 (53.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.9 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -17.5 | -17.0 | -- |
| Open | -17.0 | -17.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/16 07:04 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/16 06:59 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 06:47 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 06:44 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/16 06:13 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 06:04 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/16 05:53 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 05:26 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 05:14 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/16 04:44 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/16 04:31 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 04:24 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/16 04:04 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/16 03:56 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 03:24 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/16 02:56 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/16 02:34 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/16 02:29 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 01:44 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/16 01:41 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 01:05 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 01:04 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/16 12:32 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 10:44 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/16 09:08 AM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 08:04 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/16 07:25 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/16 06:45 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/16 06:15 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/16 05:54 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/16 05:04 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/16 04:14 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/16 03:38 AM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 02:44 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/15 11:17 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 10:35 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/15 10:04 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/15 09:50 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 08:14 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/15 07:44 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/15 07:34 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/15 06:29 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 06:24 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/15 05:55 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/15 05:34 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/15 05:04 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/15 04:24 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/15 03:59 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 03:54 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/15 03:14 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/15 02:54 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/15 02:14 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/15 02:04 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/15 01:14 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/15 12:54 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/14 05:38 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 04:53 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 02:35 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/13 08:44 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/13 05:50 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/13 01:13 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/13 12:56 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/13 08:05 AM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/13 01:50 AM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 09:47 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 12:14 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 10:56 AM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 01:56 AM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 09:54 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/11 09:38 AM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 07:23 AM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 04:21 AM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 05:38 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 05:34 PM | -- | -17.5 | -- |
| 10/10 03:50 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
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