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Wake Forest at N Carolina
Sat Nov 6, 2021
12:00pm ET
Chapel Hill, NC
Wake Forest at N Carolina: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: North Carolina by 2.5, Total Points: 78
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | WAKE | adv | UNC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-8-0 | 6-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | L3 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 2-4-0 | 4-3-0 | |
| Away | 2-4-0 | 2-4-0 |
Wake Forest Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/31 | Home | Elon | -32.0 | W by 20 | -12.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Vanderbilt | -9.5 | W by 16 | +6.5 |
| 09/16 | Away | Old Dominion | -13.5 | W by 3 | -10.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | GA Tech | -3.5 | L by 14 | -17.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Clemson | +21.0 | L by 5 | +16.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | VA Tech | +1.5 | L by 17 | -15.5 |
| 10/21 | Home | Pittsburgh | +2.5 | W by 4 | +6.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Florida St | +21.0 | L by 25 | -4.0 |
| 11/02 | Away | Duke | +7.0 | L by 3 | +4.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | NC State | +2.0 | L by 20 | -18.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Notre Dame | +24.0 | L by 38 | -14.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Syracuse | +2.0 | L by 4 | -2.0 |
N Carolina Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Neutral | S Carolina | -2.5 | W by 14 | +11.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | App State | -19.5 | W by 6 | -13.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Minnesota | -7.0 | W by 18 | +11.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Pittsburgh | -7.0 | W by 17 | +10.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | Syracuse | -9.5 | W by 33 | +23.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | Miami | -3.0 | W by 10 | +7.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Virginia | -24.0 | L by 4 | -28.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | GA Tech | -12.0 | L by 4 | -16.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Campbell | -38.5 | W by 52 | +13.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Duke | -10.0 | W by 2 | -8.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Clemson | +8.0 | L by 11 | -3.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | NC State | -2.5 | L by 19 | -21.5 |
| 12/27 | Neutral | W Virginia | +4.5 | L by 20 | -15.5 |
| UNC -2.5 | Open | -3.0 | High | -4.0 |
| Last | -3.0 | Low | -0.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 379 games where the closing line favored the home team by 1.5 to 3.5 points. In these games:
- The team like North Carolina won the game 204 times (53.8%).
- The team like Wake Forest won the game 175 times (46.2%).
- The team like Wake Forest did better against the spread, going 198-172-9 (53.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 534 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like North Carolina did better against the spread, going 262-260-12 (50.2% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.5 | -2.5 | -- |
| Open | -2.5 | -2.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/06 12:05 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/06 12:04 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/06 11:59 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/06 11:54 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/06 11:26 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/06 11:14 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/06 10:53 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/06 10:11 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/06 09:38 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/06 09:08 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/06 08:38 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/06 08:20 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/06 06:50 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/06 01:20 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 09:35 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 09:11 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 07:41 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 03:23 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 09:29 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 03:29 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/04 11:08 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/04 06:11 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/04 04:23 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/04 02:54 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/04 02:24 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/04 01:41 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/04 11:08 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/04 08:08 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/04 02:19 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/04 02:04 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/03 05:50 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/03 05:32 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/03 05:14 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/03 05:04 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/03 04:56 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/03 02:24 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/03 02:20 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/03 11:54 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/03 11:05 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/03 09:04 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/03 08:05 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/02 03:44 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/02 03:34 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/01 06:54 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/01 06:24 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/01 05:54 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/01 02:04 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/01 01:47 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/01 01:24 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 11/01 12:34 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/01 12:04 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/01 11:34 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/01 10:54 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/01 10:44 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 11:34 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 10/31 09:44 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 10/31 09:35 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 04:55 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 04:40 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 04:34 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 10/31 04:16 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
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