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Bowling Grn at Miss State
Sat Sep 24, 2022
12:00pm ET
Starkville, MS
Bowling Grn at Miss State: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Mississippi St. by 31, Total Points: 53
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | BGSU | adv | MSST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-5-0 | 3-8-1 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3-0 | 1-6-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | P1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-3-1 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 2-7-1 | |
| Home | 3-2-0 | 2-5-1 | |
| Away | 5-3-0 | 1-3-0 |
Bowling Grn Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | Liberty | +8.0 | L by 10 | -2.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | E Illinois | -16.5 | W by 23 | +6.5 |
| 09/16 | Away | Michigan | +41.0 | L by 25 | +16.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Ohio | +13.0 | L by 31 | -18.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | GA Tech | +21.0 | W by 11 | +32.0 |
| 10/07 | Away | Miami (OH) | +7.5 | L by 27 | -19.5 |
| 10/14 | Away | Buffalo | +3.0 | W by 10 | +13.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Akron | -7.0 | W by 27 | +20.0 |
| 11/01 | Home | Ball St | -5.0 | W by 3 | -2.0 |
| 11/08 | Away | Kent St | -11.0 | W by 30 | +19.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | Toledo | +10.0 | L by 1 | +9.0 |
| 11/21 | Away | W Michigan | -2.5 | W by 24 | +21.5 |
| 12/26 | Neutral | Minnesota | +2.0 | L by 6 | -4.0 |
Miss State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | SE Louisiana | -31.5 | W by 41 | +9.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Arizona | -9.0 | W by 7 | -2.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | LSU | +9.5 | L by 27 | -17.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | S Carolina | +6.0 | L by 7 | -1.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Alabama | +16.5 | L by 23 | -6.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | W Michigan | -21.5 | W by 13 | -8.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Arkansas | +7.0 | W by 4 | +11.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | Auburn | +6.5 | L by 14 | -7.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Kentucky | +5.5 | L by 21 | -15.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Texas A&M | +16.5 | L by 41 | -24.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | S Mississippi | -18.5 | W by 21 | +2.5 |
| 11/23 | Home | Mississippi | +10.0 | L by 10 | 0.0 |
| MSST -31.0 | Open | -29.0 | High | -31.0 |
| Last | -30.5 | Low | -29.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 college football season there have been 48 games where the closing line favored the home team by 30 to 32 points. In these games:
- The team like Mississippi State won the game 45 times (93.8%).
- The team like Bowling Green won the game 3 times (6.3%).
- The team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 25-21-2 (54.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 college football season there have been 203 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 101-100-2 (50.2% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -31.0 | -31.0 | -- |
| Open | -29.5 | -30.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 09/24 12:02 PM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 10:50 AM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 09:14 AM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 08:29 AM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 06:55 PM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 02:17 PM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 01:15 PM | -- | -31.0 | -- |
| 09/23 12:38 PM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 11:53 AM | -30.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/22 08:26 AM | -30.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 08:47 PM | -30.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 05:20 PM | -30.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 03:05 PM | -- | -30.5 | -- |
| 09/21 02:59 PM | -28.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 12:29 PM | -28.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 10:35 AM | -28.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 11:26 AM | -28.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 08:20 AM | -28.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 04:56 PM | -30.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 08:28 AM | -30.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 12:44 AM | -- | -30.0 | -- |
| 09/18 06:24 PM | -- | -30.5 | -- |
| 09/18 06:20 PM | -30.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 04:59 PM | -29.5 | -- | -- |
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