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Liberty at U Mass
Sat Oct 8, 2022
3:30pm ET
Amherst, MA
Liberty at U Mass: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Liberty by 22.5, Total Points: 45.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | LIB | adv | MASS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-5-0 | 5-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-3-0 | 1-1-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 5-3-0 | 1-5-0 | |
| Away | 4-2-0 | 4-2-0 |
Liberty Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Bowling Grn | -8.0 | W by 10 | +2.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | N Mex State | -9.0 | W by 16 | +7.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | Buffalo | -3.0 | W by 28 | +25.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Florida Intl | -10.0 | W by 32 | +22.0 |
| 10/05 | Home | Sam Hous St | -21.5 | W by 5 | -16.5 |
| 10/10 | Away | Jksnville St | -7.0 | W by 18 | +11.0 |
| 10/17 | Home | Middle Tenn | -16.0 | W by 7 | -9.0 |
| 10/24 | Away | W Kentucky | -4.0 | W by 13 | +9.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | LA Tech | -14.0 | W by 26 | +12.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Old Dominion | -14.0 | W by 28 | +14.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | U Mass | -26.0 | W by 24 | -2.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | TX El Paso | -18.0 | W by 14 | -4.0 |
| 12/01 | Home | N Mex State | -10.0 | W by 14 | +4.0 |
| 01/01 | Neutral | Oregon | +18.5 | L by 39 | -20.5 |
U Mass Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/26 | Away | N Mex State | +6.5 | W by 11 | +17.5 |
| 09/02 | Away | Auburn | +35.0 | L by 45 | -10.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Miami (OH) | +7.0 | L by 13 | -6.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | E Michigan | +8.0 | L by 2 | +6.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | New Mexico | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Arkansas St | -2.5 | L by 24 | -26.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Toledo | +19.0 | L by 17 | +2.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | Penn St | +42.0 | L by 63 | -21.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | Army | +10.0 | W by 7 | +17.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Merrimack | -16.5 | W by 10 | -6.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Liberty | +26.0 | L by 24 | +2.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Connecticut | -2.5 | L by 13 | -15.5 |
| LIB -22.5 | Open | -25.5 | High | -26.5 |
| Last | -23.0 | Low | -22.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 college football season there have been 37 games where the closing line favored the away team by 21.5 to 23.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Liberty won the game 33 times (89.2%).
- The team like Massachusetts won the game 4 times (10.8%).
- The team like Liberty did better against the spread, going 22-15 (59.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.6 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 college football season there have been 99 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 3 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Liberty did better against the spread, going 54-45 (54.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.0 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -22.5 | -22.5 | -- |
| Open | -25.5 | -24.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/08 03:26 PM | -22.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/08 03:14 PM | -- | -22.5 | -- |
| 10/08 02:59 PM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/08 02:45 PM | -- | -23.0 | -- |
| 10/08 02:34 PM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/08 01:49 PM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/08 12:02 PM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/08 11:26 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/08 08:14 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/08 08:08 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/08 04:17 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/07 12:49 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/06 07:25 PM | -- | -24.0 | -- |
| 10/06 07:10 PM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/05 01:26 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/05 11:47 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/05 10:50 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/04 10:56 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/03 12:44 PM | -- | -24.5 | -- |
| 10/03 12:34 PM | -- | -25.5 | -- |
| 10/03 12:32 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/03 10:25 AM | -- | -26.5 | -- |
| 10/03 09:47 AM | -26.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 06:44 PM | -- | -26.0 | -- |
| 10/02 05:44 PM | -- | -24.5 | -- |
| 10/02 04:49 PM | -25.5 | -- | -- |
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