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Florida at Kentucky
Sat Oct 2, 2021
6:00pm ET
Lexington, KY
Florida at Kentucky: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Florida by 7.5, Total Points: 56.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | FLA | adv | UK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-8-0 | 7-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 2-4-0 | 3-4-0 | |
| Away | 2-4-0 | 4-2-0 |
Florida Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/31 | Away | Utah | +5.5 | L by 13 | -7.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | McNeese St | -48.5 | W by 42 | -6.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Tennessee | +5.0 | W by 13 | +18.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Charlotte | -28.0 | W by 15 | -13.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Kentucky | +1.0 | L by 19 | -18.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | Vanderbilt | -18.5 | W by 24 | +5.5 |
| 10/14 | Away | S Carolina | -1.0 | W by 2 | +1.0 |
| 10/28 | Neutral | Georgia | +14.0 | L by 23 | -9.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Arkansas | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | LSU | +16.0 | L by 17 | -1.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Missouri | +12.0 | L by 2 | +10.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Florida St | +6.0 | L by 9 | -3.0 |
Kentucky Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Ball St | -25.5 | W by 30 | +4.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | E Kentucky | -34.5 | W by 11 | -23.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Akron | -25.5 | W by 32 | +6.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | Vanderbilt | -13.0 | W by 17 | +4.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Florida | -1.0 | W by 19 | +18.0 |
| 10/07 | Away | Georgia | +14.5 | L by 38 | -23.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | Missouri | -1.5 | L by 17 | -18.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Tennessee | +4.0 | L by 6 | -2.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Miss State | -5.5 | W by 21 | +15.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Alabama | +10.5 | L by 28 | -17.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | S Carolina | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Louisville | +7.5 | W by 7 | +14.5 |
| 12/29 | Neutral | Clemson | +3.5 | L by 3 | +0.5 |
| FLA -7.5 | Open | -7.5 | High | -8.5 |
| Last | -8.0 | Low | -7.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 219 games where the closing line favored the away team by 6.5 to 8.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Florida won the game 143 times (65.3%).
- The team like Kentucky won the game 76 times (34.7%).
- The team like Florida did better against the spread, going 110-101-8 (52.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.9 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 317 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Kentucky did better against the spread, going 162-148-7 (52.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -7.5 | -7.5 | -- |
| Open | -8.5 | -8.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/02 06:04 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/02 05:56 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 05:44 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/02 05:04 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/02 04:44 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 04:35 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 04:24 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/02 03:54 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/02 03:50 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 02:41 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 12:44 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 12:23 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 11:44 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 11:26 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 10:47 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 10:17 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 10:02 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 08:29 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 06:02 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 05:23 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 02:35 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 06:05 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 01:35 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/01 01:32 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 01:05 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/01 12:34 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/01 12:04 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/01 11:44 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/01 11:04 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/01 10:44 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/01 10:05 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/01 09:44 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/01 09:14 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/01 08:34 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/01 08:04 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/01 07:34 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/01 07:14 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/01 06:44 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/01 06:25 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/01 05:04 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 09/30 09:56 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 11:14 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 09/30 10:59 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 08:35 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 05:41 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 11:20 AM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 08:02 AM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 09:47 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 06:34 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 09/27 01:14 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 09/27 08:28 AM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 07:19 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 06:54 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 09/26 05:05 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
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