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Minnesota at Illinois
Sat Oct 15, 2022
12:00pm ET
Champaign, IL
Minnesota at Illinois: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Minnesota by 4.5, Total Points: 40
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MINN | adv | ILL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-9-0 | 3-9-0 | |
| vs Conference | 2-7-0 | 3-6-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 2-5-0 | 0-7-0 | |
| Away | 2-4-0 | 3-2-0 |
Minnesota Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/31 | Home | Nebraska | -7.5 | W by 3 | -4.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | E Michigan | -20.0 | W by 19 | -1.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | N Carolina | +7.0 | L by 18 | -11.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Northwestern | -12.0 | L by 3 | -15.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Louisiana | -9.0 | W by 11 | +2.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | Michigan | +19.0 | L by 42 | -23.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | Iowa | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Michigan St | -6.5 | W by 15 | +8.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Illinois | -2.5 | L by 1 | -3.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Purdue | -2.0 | L by 19 | -21.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Ohio St | +27.5 | L by 34 | -6.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Wisconsin | +3.0 | L by 14 | -11.0 |
| 12/26 | Neutral | Bowling Grn | -2.0 | W by 6 | +4.0 |
Illinois Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Toledo | -7.5 | W by 2 | -5.5 |
| 09/08 | Away | Kansas | +3.5 | L by 11 | -7.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Penn St | +14.0 | L by 17 | -3.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Fla Atlantic | -16.0 | W by 6 | -10.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Purdue | -1.0 | L by 25 | -26.0 |
| 10/06 | Home | Nebraska | -3.0 | L by 13 | -16.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | Maryland | +13.0 | W by 3 | +16.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Wisconsin | +3.0 | L by 4 | -1.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Minnesota | +2.5 | W by 1 | +3.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Indiana | -4.5 | W by 3 | -1.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Iowa | +3.0 | L by 2 | +1.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Northwestern | -6.5 | L by 2 | -8.5 |
| MINN -4.5 | Open | -1.0 | High | -7.0 |
| Last | -6.0 | Low | -1.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 college football season there have been 225 games where the closing line favored the away team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Minnesota won the game 133 times (59.1%).
- The team like Illinois won the game 92 times (40.9%).
- The team like Illinois did better against the spread, going 122-102-1 (54.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 college football season there have been 88 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 3.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Illinois did better against the spread, going 45-41-2 (52.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.5 | -4.5 | -- |
| Open | -3.5 | -3.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/15 12:02 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 11:38 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 10:44 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 10:11 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 10:08 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 10:05 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 10/15 09:38 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 08:44 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 10/15 08:41 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 08:35 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 10/15 08:08 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 07:54 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 10/15 06:55 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 10/15 01:16 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 12:05 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 10/14 07:58 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 07:32 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 11:35 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 11:24 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 10/14 11:05 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 08:31 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 04:32 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/13 11:32 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 08:14 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 10:08 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 12:05 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 10:38 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 09:59 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 08:32 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 07:56 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 05:14 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 02:59 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 12:50 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 11:32 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 11:24 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 10/10 10:56 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 10:34 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 10/10 10:23 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 10:05 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 09:05 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 06:38 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 01:13 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/09 05:24 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/09 04:37 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/09 04:22 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
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