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Minnesota at Penn St
Sat Oct 22, 2022
7:30pm ET
University Park, PA
Minnesota at Penn St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Penn St. by 5, Total Points: 43.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MINN | adv | PSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-9-0 | 9-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 2-7-0 | 6-3-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 2-5-0 | 5-2-0 | |
| Away | 2-4-0 | 4-2-0 |
Minnesota Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/31 | Home | Nebraska | -7.5 | W by 3 | -4.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | E Michigan | -20.0 | W by 19 | -1.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | N Carolina | +7.0 | L by 18 | -11.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Northwestern | -12.0 | L by 3 | -15.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Louisiana | -9.0 | W by 11 | +2.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | Michigan | +19.0 | L by 42 | -23.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | Iowa | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Michigan St | -6.5 | W by 15 | +8.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Illinois | -2.5 | L by 1 | -3.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Purdue | -2.0 | L by 19 | -21.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Ohio St | +27.5 | L by 34 | -6.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Wisconsin | +3.0 | L by 14 | -11.0 |
| 12/26 | Neutral | Bowling Grn | -2.0 | W by 6 | +4.0 |
Penn St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | W Virginia | -21.0 | W by 23 | +2.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Delaware | -44.0 | W by 56 | +12.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | Illinois | -14.0 | W by 17 | +3.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Iowa | -14.0 | W by 31 | +17.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Northwestern | -26.5 | W by 28 | +1.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | U Mass | -42.0 | W by 63 | +21.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | Ohio St | +4.0 | L by 8 | -4.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Indiana | -31.0 | W by 9 | -22.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Maryland | -7.5 | W by 36 | +28.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Michigan | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Rutgers | -19.5 | W by 21 | +1.5 |
| 11/24 | Away | Michigan St | -22.5 | W by 42 | +19.5 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Mississippi | -6.0 | L by 13 | -19.0 |
| PSU -5.0 | Open | -6.5 | High | -6.5 |
| Last | -4.5 | Low | -4.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 college football season there have been 196 games where the closing line favored the home team by 4 to 6 points. In these games:
- The team like Penn State won the game 128 times (65.3%).
- The team like Minnesota won the game 68 times (34.7%).
- The team like Minnesota did better against the spread, going 107-87-2 (55.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 college football season there have been 318 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Penn State did better against the spread, going 168-142-8 (54.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.5 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -5.5 | -5.5 | -- |
| Open | -5.0 | -5.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/22 07:34 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 10/22 07:29 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 07:23 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 07:04 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 10/22 06:47 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 06:25 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 10/22 06:20 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 06:14 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 10/22 05:23 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 04:34 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 10/22 04:14 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 10/22 02:50 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 01:50 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 01:17 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 12:50 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 12:25 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 10/22 12:14 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 10/22 12:05 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 11:45 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 10/22 11:14 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 11:05 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 10/22 10:44 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 09:47 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 09:06 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 08:20 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 01:06 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 12:14 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 10/21 10:44 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 10/21 10:02 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 09:29 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 08:17 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 07:47 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 05:23 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 04:41 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 03:05 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 02:45 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 10/21 01:20 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 12:44 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 10:32 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 09:44 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 01:56 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 11:54 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 10/20 09:35 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 07:17 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 07:14 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 10/20 07:05 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 10/20 06:48 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 01:25 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/20 12:38 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 07:34 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 10/19 11:32 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 11:05 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/19 02:45 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 08:56 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 08:04 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 10/18 03:26 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 09:34 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 10/17 07:05 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 03:56 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 02:04 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 10/17 12:45 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 10/17 12:34 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 10/17 11:14 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 09:44 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 10/17 08:44 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 10/17 08:41 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 02:30 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 05:44 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 04:54 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
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