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W Kentucky at Middle Tenn
Sat Oct 15, 2022
3:30pm ET
Murfreesboro, TN
W Kentucky at Middle Tenn: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Western Kentucky by 7.5, Total Points: 67.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | WKU | adv | MTU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-7-0 | 4-8-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 2-4-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| Away | 4-3-0 | 2-4-0 |
W Kentucky Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | S Florida | -13.0 | W by 17 | +4.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Houston Baptist | -42.5 | W by 30 | -12.5 |
| 09/16 | Away | Ohio St | +29.5 | L by 53 | -23.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | Troy | +4.5 | L by 3 | +1.5 |
| 09/28 | Home | Middle Tenn | -6.5 | W by 21 | +14.5 |
| 10/05 | Away | LA Tech | -6.0 | W by 7 | +1.0 |
| 10/17 | Away | Jksnville St | -7.5 | L by 3 | -10.5 |
| 10/24 | Home | Liberty | +4.0 | L by 13 | -9.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | TX El Paso | -9.5 | W by 8 | -1.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | N Mex State | -4.5 | L by 9 | -13.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Sam Hous St | -10.0 | W by 5 | -5.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Florida Intl | -11.5 | W by 13 | +1.5 |
| 12/18 | Neutral | Old Dominion | +4.5 | W by 3 | +7.5 |
Middle Tenn Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | Alabama | +39.0 | L by 49 | -10.0 |
| 09/09 | Away | Missouri | +21.0 | L by 4 | +17.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Murray St | -34.5 | W by 21 | -13.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | Colorado St | -4.0 | L by 8 | -12.0 |
| 09/28 | Away | W Kentucky | +6.5 | L by 21 | -14.5 |
| 10/04 | Home | Jksnville St | -3.0 | L by 15 | -18.0 |
| 10/10 | Home | LA Tech | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 10/17 | Away | Liberty | +16.0 | L by 7 | +9.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | N Mex State | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Florida Intl | -10.5 | W by 34 | +23.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | TX El Paso | -8.0 | W by 4 | -4.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Sam Hous St | -3.5 | L by 3 | -6.5 |
| WKU -7.5 | Open | -5.5 | High | -8.0 |
| Last | -8.0 | Low | -5.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 college football season there have been 226 games where the closing line favored the away team by 6.5 to 8.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Western Kentucky won the game 143 times (63.3%).
- The team like Middle Tennessee won the game 83 times (36.7%).
- The team like Middle Tennessee did better against the spread, going 112-104-10 (51.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 college football season there have been 217 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Western Kentucky did better against the spread, going 109-105-3 (50.9% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -7.5 | -7.0 | -- |
| Open | -7.0 | -6.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/15 03:14 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/15 03:14 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 03:05 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 01:52 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 01:34 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/15 12:05 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 10:35 AM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 10/15 09:34 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/15 08:32 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 02:22 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 04:15 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 10/14 12:35 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/14 08:50 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/13 06:14 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/13 11:26 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 08:26 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 05:38 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 02:38 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 02:14 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 10/10 02:02 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 11:46 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 11:31 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 09:40 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 09:01 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 08:54 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/10 07:43 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 05:44 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 03:35 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 01:47 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 01:25 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/09 06:24 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/09 05:58 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/09 05:34 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/09 05:24 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 10/09 04:49 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
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