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VA Tech at Louisville
Sat Oct 31, 2020
4:00pm ET
Louisville, KY
VA Tech at Louisville: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Virginia Tech by 5, Total Points: 67.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | VT | adv | LOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-5-0 | 6-8-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-2-0 | 4-5-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 4-2-0 | 5-2-0 | |
| Away | 4-3-0 | 1-6-0 |
VA Tech Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Old Dominion | -16.5 | W by 19 | +2.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Purdue | -1.0 | L by 7 | -8.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | Rutgers | +6.5 | L by 19 | -12.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | Marshall | +6.0 | L by 7 | -1.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Pittsburgh | +3.0 | W by 17 | +20.0 |
| 10/07 | Away | Florida St | +24.0 | L by 22 | +2.0 |
| 10/14 | Home | Wake Forest | -1.5 | W by 17 | +15.5 |
| 10/26 | Home | Syracuse | -2.5 | W by 28 | +25.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | Louisville | +9.0 | L by 31 | -22.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Boston Col | -3.0 | W by 26 | +23.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | NC State | -2.5 | L by 7 | -9.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Virginia | -1.0 | W by 38 | +37.0 |
| 12/27 | Neutral | Tulane | -13.0 | W by 21 | +8.0 |
Louisville Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01 | Neutral | GA Tech | -7.0 | W by 5 | -2.0 |
| 09/07 | Home | Murray St | -43.5 | W by 56 | +12.5 |
| 09/16 | Neutral | Indiana | -10.0 | W by 7 | -3.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Boston Col | -14.0 | W by 28 | +14.0 |
| 09/29 | Away | NC State | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Notre Dame | +6.5 | W by 13 | +19.5 |
| 10/14 | Away | Pittsburgh | -7.0 | L by 17 | -24.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Duke | -5.0 | W by 23 | +18.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | VA Tech | -9.0 | W by 31 | +22.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | Virginia | -20.0 | W by 7 | -13.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Miami | (Pick) | W by 7 | +7.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Kentucky | -7.5 | L by 7 | -14.5 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Florida St | -1.0 | L by 10 | -11.0 |
| 12/27 | Neutral | USC | -5.0 | L by 14 | -19.0 |
| VT -5.0 | Open | -3.0 | High | -5.0 |
| Last | -4.5 | Low | -3.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 college football season there have been 325 games where the closing line favored the away team by 3 to 5 points. In these games:
- The team like Virginia Tech won the game 203 times (62.5%).
- The team like Louisville won the game 122 times (37.5%).
- The team like Virginia Tech did better against the spread, going 160-158-7 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.0 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 college football season there have been 12 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Louisville did better against the spread, going 8-4 (66.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -5.5 | -5.0 | -- |
| Open | -3.0 | -3.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/31 04:04 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 10/31 03:53 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 03:44 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 10/31 03:38 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 02:54 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/31 02:44 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 02:11 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 01:59 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 01:14 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 11:38 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 11:11 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 10:56 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 10:35 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 09:17 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 08:50 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 08:02 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 04:44 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/30 03:14 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/30 02:44 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/30 01:47 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 04:54 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/29 03:24 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/29 02:24 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/29 01:44 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/29 01:38 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 12:34 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/29 12:04 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/29 11:34 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/29 10:34 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/29 07:54 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/29 07:24 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/28 07:54 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/28 07:14 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/28 07:08 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/28 05:44 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/28 05:14 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/28 05:05 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/28 10:04 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/28 09:24 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/28 08:14 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/28 08:05 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/28 03:14 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/28 02:34 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/27 11:44 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/27 06:34 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/27 06:04 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/27 04:44 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/27 04:14 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/27 02:34 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/27 02:24 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/27 01:54 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/27 01:14 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/27 12:34 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/27 12:04 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/27 11:54 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/27 11:04 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/27 09:04 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/27 08:34 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/27 08:23 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 08:54 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/26 04:35 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 03:23 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 03:14 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/26 02:54 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/26 02:47 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 08:44 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/26 08:34 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/26 08:23 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 04:26 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
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