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Miami at N Carolina
Sat Sep 7, 2019
8:00pm ET
Chapel Hill, NC
Miami at N Carolina: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Miami by 5, Total Points: 46
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MIA | adv | UNC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-7-0 | 6-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 3-4-0 | 4-3-0 | |
| Away | 3-3-0 | 2-4-0 |
Miami Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01 | Home | Miami (OH) | -16.5 | W by 35 | +18.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Texas A&M | +2.5 | W by 15 | +17.5 |
| 09/14 | Home | Beth-Cook | -53.5 | W by 41 | -12.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | Temple | -22.5 | W by 34 | +11.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | GA Tech | -19.0 | L by 3 | -22.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | N Carolina | +3.0 | L by 10 | -7.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Clemson | +6.0 | W by 8 | +14.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Virginia | -19.0 | W by 3 | -16.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | NC State | -6.5 | L by 14 | -20.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Florida St | +14.5 | L by 7 | +7.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Louisville | (Pick) | L by 7 | -7.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Boston Col | -10.0 | W by 25 | +15.0 |
| 12/28 | Neutral | Rutgers | +2.5 | L by 7 | -4.5 |
N Carolina Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Neutral | S Carolina | -2.5 | W by 14 | +11.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | App State | -19.5 | W by 6 | -13.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Minnesota | -7.0 | W by 18 | +11.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Pittsburgh | -7.0 | W by 17 | +10.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | Syracuse | -9.5 | W by 33 | +23.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | Miami | -3.0 | W by 10 | +7.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Virginia | -24.0 | L by 4 | -28.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | GA Tech | -12.0 | L by 4 | -16.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Campbell | -38.5 | W by 52 | +13.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Duke | -10.0 | W by 2 | -8.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Clemson | +8.0 | L by 11 | -3.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | NC State | -2.5 | L by 19 | -21.5 |
| 12/27 | Neutral | W Virginia | +4.5 | L by 20 | -15.5 |
| MIA -5.0 | Open | -6.5 | High | -7.0 |
| Last | -4.5 | Low | -3.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 175 games where the closing line favored the away team by 4 to 6 points. In these games:
- The team like Miami won the game 114 times (65.1%)
- The team like North Carolina won the game 61 times (34.9%)
- The team like Miami did better against the spread,
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 360 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like North Carolina did better against the spread, going 181-173-6 (51.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -5.0 | -5.0 | -- |
| Open | -6.0 | -6.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 09/07 08:14 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 09/07 08:09 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/07 07:02 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/07 06:06 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/07 04:13 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/07 03:44 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/07 02:44 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/07 01:44 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 09/06 09:57 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 09/06 02:44 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 09/06 02:29 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/05 11:54 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 09/05 08:44 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 09/05 08:29 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/05 07:03 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/05 04:03 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/05 02:45 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 09/05 02:24 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 09/05 02:18 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/05 12:54 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 09/05 12:04 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 09/05 11:54 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 09/05 11:26 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/05 08:44 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 09/05 12:14 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 09/04 11:29 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/04 03:24 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 09/04 02:04 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 09/04 01:49 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/04 01:04 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 09/04 12:49 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/04 12:34 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 09/04 12:25 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/04 11:54 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 09/04 11:24 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 09/04 11:13 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/04 08:03 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/03 01:04 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 09/03 12:54 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 09/03 12:39 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/03 09:52 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/03 08:59 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/03 08:54 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 09/03 08:42 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 01:44 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 09/01 06:37 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/01 05:44 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 09/01 05:37 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
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