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Miami at N Carolina
Sat Oct 16, 2021
3:30pm ET
Chapel Hill, NC
Miami at N Carolina: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: North Carolina by 7.5, Total Points: 63.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MIA | adv | UNC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-7-0 | 6-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 3-4-0 | 4-3-0 | |
| Away | 3-3-0 | 2-4-0 |
Miami Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01 | Home | Miami (OH) | -16.5 | W by 35 | +18.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Texas A&M | +2.5 | W by 15 | +17.5 |
| 09/14 | Home | Beth-Cook | -53.5 | W by 41 | -12.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | Temple | -22.5 | W by 34 | +11.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | GA Tech | -19.0 | L by 3 | -22.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | N Carolina | +3.0 | L by 10 | -7.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Clemson | +6.0 | W by 8 | +14.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Virginia | -19.0 | W by 3 | -16.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | NC State | -6.5 | L by 14 | -20.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Florida St | +14.5 | L by 7 | +7.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Louisville | (Pick) | L by 7 | -7.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Boston Col | -10.0 | W by 25 | +15.0 |
| 12/28 | Neutral | Rutgers | +2.5 | L by 7 | -4.5 |
N Carolina Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Neutral | S Carolina | -2.5 | W by 14 | +11.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | App State | -19.5 | W by 6 | -13.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Minnesota | -7.0 | W by 18 | +11.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Pittsburgh | -7.0 | W by 17 | +10.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | Syracuse | -9.5 | W by 33 | +23.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | Miami | -3.0 | W by 10 | +7.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Virginia | -24.0 | L by 4 | -28.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | GA Tech | -12.0 | L by 4 | -16.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Campbell | -38.5 | W by 52 | +13.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Duke | -10.0 | W by 2 | -8.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Clemson | +8.0 | L by 11 | -3.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | NC State | -2.5 | L by 19 | -21.5 |
| 12/27 | Neutral | W Virginia | +4.5 | L by 20 | -15.5 |
| UNC -7.5 | Open | -2.5 | High | -7.5 |
| Last | -7.0 | Low | -2.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 296 games where the closing line favored the home team by 6.5 to 8.5 points. In these games:
- The team like North Carolina won the game 210 times (70.9%).
- The team like Miami won the game 86 times (29.1%).
- The team like Miami did better against the spread, going 158-130-8 (54.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 19 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like North Carolina did better against the spread, going 12-6-1 (66.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 3.5 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -7.5 | -7.5 | -- |
| Open | -6.0 | -6.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/16 03:32 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 02:05 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 02:04 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/16 12:32 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 10:41 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 09:56 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 09:08 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 08:08 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 04:20 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 04:14 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 05:59 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 12:26 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 11:38 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 05:11 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 10:50 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 07:53 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/13 10:14 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/13 04:14 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/13 04:09 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/13 03:44 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/13 03:04 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/13 12:04 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/13 11:34 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/13 11:05 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/13 10:24 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/13 10:04 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/13 09:34 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/13 09:14 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/13 08:05 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/13 12:44 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 07:05 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 11:14 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/11 10:56 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 10:29 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 10:02 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 09:23 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 07:32 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 08:04 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 10/10 05:56 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 05:34 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 10/10 03:34 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
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