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N Illinois at Michigan
Sat Sep 18, 2021
12:00pm ET
Ann Arbor, MI
N Illinois at Michigan: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Michigan by 27.5, Total Points: 55
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NIU | adv | MICH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-7-0 | 9-5-1 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 7-2-1 | |
| Streak | W1 | W4 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 8-2-0 | |
| Home | 2-4-0 | 2-4-1 | |
| Away | 4-3-0 | 7-1-0 |
N Illinois Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | Boston Col | +8.0 | W by 3 | +11.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | S Illinois | -7.5 | L by 3 | -10.5 |
| 09/16 | Away | Nebraska | +11.5 | L by 24 | -12.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | Tulsa | -3.5 | L by 8 | -11.5 |
| 09/30 | Away | Toledo | +13.5 | L by 2 | +11.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Akron | -4.0 | W by 41 | +37.0 |
| 10/14 | Home | Ohio | +5.5 | W by 10 | +15.5 |
| 10/21 | Home | E Michigan | -11.5 | W by 7 | -4.5 |
| 10/31 | Away | Central Mich | -6.5 | L by 6 | -12.5 |
| 11/07 | Home | Ball St | -9.0 | L by 3 | -12.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | W Michigan | -4.5 | W by 24 | +19.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Kent St | -20.5 | W by 10 | -10.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Arkansas St | +2.5 | W by 2 | +4.5 |
Michigan Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | E Carolina | -35.5 | W by 27 | -8.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | UNLV | -38.0 | W by 28 | -10.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Bowling Grn | -41.0 | W by 25 | -16.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Rutgers | -24.0 | W by 24 | 0.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Nebraska | -17.5 | W by 38 | +20.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Minnesota | -19.0 | W by 42 | +23.0 |
| 10/14 | Home | Indiana | -32.5 | W by 45 | +12.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Michigan St | -25.5 | W by 49 | +23.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Purdue | -31.0 | W by 28 | -3.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Penn St | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Maryland | -17.5 | W by 7 | -10.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Ohio St | -3.0 | W by 6 | +3.0 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Iowa | -21.5 | W by 26 | +4.5 |
| 01/01 | Neutral | Alabama | -2.0 | W by 7 | +5.0 |
| 01/08 | Neutral | Washington | -5.5 | W by 21 | +15.5 |
| MICH -27.5 | Open | -27.5 | High | -27.5 |
| Last | -27.0 | Low | -26.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 85 games where the closing line favored the home team by 26.5 to 28.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Michigan won the game 82 times (96.5%).
- The team like Northern Illinois won the game 3 times (3.5%).
- The team like Michigan did better against the spread, going 44-39-2 (53.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 300 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Northern Illinois did better against the spread, going 152-141-7 (51.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -26.5 | -27.5 | -- |
| Open | -27.0 | -27.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 09/18 12:02 PM | -26.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 11:44 AM | -- | -27.5 | -- |
| 09/18 11:41 AM | -27.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 11:34 AM | -- | -27.5 | -- |
| 09/18 10:54 AM | -- | -27.5 | -- |
| 09/18 10:50 AM | -27.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 10:32 AM | -27.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 10:24 AM | -- | -27.5 | -- |
| 09/18 10:04 AM | -- | -27.5 | -- |
| 09/18 09:24 AM | -- | -27.0 | -- |
| 09/18 08:55 AM | -- | -27.0 | -- |
| 09/18 08:50 AM | -27.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 08:34 AM | -- | -27.0 | -- |
| 09/18 08:14 AM | -27.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 07:56 AM | -27.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 07:55 AM | -- | -27.0 | -- |
| 09/18 07:24 AM | -- | -27.0 | -- |
| 09/18 07:04 AM | -- | -27.0 | -- |
| 09/18 06:34 AM | -- | -27.0 | -- |
| 09/18 05:45 AM | -- | -27.0 | -- |
| 09/18 05:15 AM | -- | -27.0 | -- |
| 09/18 04:02 AM | -- | -27.0 | -- |
| 09/18 03:14 AM | -- | -27.0 | -- |
| 09/18 01:59 AM | -27.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/17 10:34 PM | -- | -27.0 | -- |
| 09/17 10:05 PM | -27.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/17 10:04 PM | -- | -27.0 | -- |
| 09/17 09:14 PM | -- | -27.0 | -- |
| 09/17 09:05 PM | -- | -27.0 | -- |
| 09/17 08:34 PM | -- | -27.0 | -- |
| 09/17 08:16 PM | -- | -27.0 | -- |
| 09/17 07:34 PM | -- | -27.0 | -- |
| 09/17 07:04 PM | -- | -27.0 | -- |
| 09/17 06:48 PM | -- | -27.0 | -- |
| 09/17 05:54 PM | -- | -27.0 | -- |
| 09/17 02:25 PM | -- | -27.0 | -- |
| 09/17 01:54 PM | -- | -27.0 | -- |
| 09/17 01:24 PM | -- | -27.0 | -- |
| 09/17 01:05 PM | -- | -27.0 | -- |
| 09/17 12:34 PM | -- | -27.0 | -- |
| 09/17 11:50 AM | -- | -27.0 | -- |
| 09/16 10:05 PM | -27.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 05:24 PM | -- | -27.0 | -- |
| 09/16 01:17 PM | -27.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/16 08:34 AM | -- | -27.5 | -- |
| 09/15 11:04 PM | -- | -27.0 | -- |
| 09/15 08:32 PM | -27.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/15 07:32 PM | -27.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/15 05:14 PM | -- | -27.5 | -- |
| 09/15 04:54 PM | -- | -27.5 | -- |
| 09/15 04:24 PM | -- | -27.5 | -- |
| 09/15 11:38 AM | -27.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/15 08:05 AM | -27.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/14 01:53 PM | -27.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/14 01:38 PM | -27.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/14 01:11 PM | -27.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/14 10:41 AM | -27.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/14 10:14 AM | -27.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/13 05:44 PM | -27.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/13 08:32 AM | -27.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/12 11:59 PM | -27.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/12 06:54 PM | -- | -27.0 | -- |
| 09/12 06:41 PM | -27.0 | -- | -- |
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