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Kansas at Duke
Sat Sep 25, 2021
4:00pm ET
Durham, NC
Kansas at Duke: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Duke by 16.5, Total Points: 57.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | KU | adv | DUKE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-5-0 | 7-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-3-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Streak | W3 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 5-2-0 | 4-3-0 | |
| Away | 3-3-0 | 3-3-0 |
Kansas Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01 | Home | Missouri St | -32.5 | W by 31 | -1.5 |
| 09/08 | Home | Illinois | -3.5 | W by 11 | +7.5 |
| 09/16 | Away | Nevada | -28.0 | W by 7 | -21.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | BYU | -9.0 | W by 11 | +2.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Texas | +15.0 | L by 26 | -11.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | UCF | +2.0 | W by 29 | +31.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | Oklahoma St | -3.0 | L by 7 | -10.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Oklahoma | +7.0 | W by 5 | +12.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Iowa St | +3.0 | W by 7 | +10.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Texas Tech | -3.5 | L by 3 | -6.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Kansas St | +7.0 | L by 4 | +3.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Cincinnati | -7.5 | W by 33 | +25.5 |
| 12/26 | Neutral | UNLV | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
Duke Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04 | Home | Clemson | +12.0 | W by 21 | +33.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Lafayette | -43.5 | W by 35 | -8.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Northwestern | -17.0 | W by 24 | +7.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Connecticut | -22.0 | W by 34 | +12.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Notre Dame | +5.5 | L by 7 | -1.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | NC State | -3.5 | W by 21 | +17.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Florida St | +14.5 | L by 18 | -3.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Louisville | +5.0 | L by 23 | -18.0 |
| 11/02 | Home | Wake Forest | -7.0 | W by 3 | -4.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | N Carolina | +10.0 | L by 2 | +8.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Virginia | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Pittsburgh | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Troy | +6.5 | W by 7 | +13.5 |
| DUKE -16.5 | Open | -12.5 | High | -16.5 |
| Last | -16.0 | Low | -12.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 176 games where the closing line favored the home team by 15.5 to 17.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Duke won the game 157 times (89.2%).
- The team like Kansas won the game 19 times (10.8%).
- The team like Duke did better against the spread, going 97-76-3 (56.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 58 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 4 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Duke did better against the spread, going 30-26-2 (53.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -16.5 | -16.0 | -- |
| Open | -14.5 | -15.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 09/25 03:43 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 02:20 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 01:14 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 12:59 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 12:47 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 09:38 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 08:17 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 12:08 AM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 09:52 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 07:14 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 05:59 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 04:08 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 01:02 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 11:41 AM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 11:17 AM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 11:25 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 04:59 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 08:56 AM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/22 04:54 PM | -- | -16.0 | -- |
| 09/22 08:05 AM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 04:11 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 02:14 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/20 02:05 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 10:38 AM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 10:23 AM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 07:37 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 06:40 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 06:34 PM | -- | -15.5 | -- |
| 09/19 05:20 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
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