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North Texas at S Mississippi
Sat Nov 6, 2021
3:00pm ET
Hattiesburg, MS
North Texas at S Mississippi: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: North Texas by 5.5, Total Points: 49
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UNT | adv | USM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-4-0 | 4-8-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-1-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 4-2-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| Away | 4-2-0 | 2-4-0 |
North Texas Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | California | +5.0 | L by 37 | -32.0 |
| 09/09 | Away | Florida Intl | -10.5 | L by 7 | -17.5 |
| 09/16 | Away | LA Tech | +4.5 | W by 3 | +7.5 |
| 09/30 | Home | Abl Christian | -15.5 | W by 14 | -1.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Navy | +6.5 | L by 3 | +3.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | Temple | -7.5 | W by 31 | +23.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Tulane | +20.0 | L by 7 | +13.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Memphis | +6.5 | L by 3 | +3.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | UTSA | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | S Methodist | +21.0 | L by 24 | -3.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Tulsa | -1.5 | W by 7 | +5.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | UAB | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
S Mississippi Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Alcorn State | -24.0 | W by 26 | +2.0 |
| 09/09 | Away | Florida St | +31.0 | L by 53 | -22.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Tulane | +8.0 | L by 18 | -10.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Arkansas St | -7.0 | L by 7 | -14.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Texas St | +6.5 | L by 14 | -7.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Old Dominion | -3.0 | L by 4 | -7.0 |
| 10/17 | Away | S Alabama | +18.5 | L by 52 | -33.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | App State | +16.0 | L by 10 | +6.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | UL Monroe | -3.0 | W by 17 | +14.0 |
| 11/09 | Away | Louisiana | +7.5 | W by 3 | +10.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Miss State | +18.5 | L by 21 | -2.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Troy | +17.0 | L by 18 | -1.0 |
| UNT -5.5 | Open | -4.5 | High | -5.5 |
| Last | -4.5 | Low | -3.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 216 games where the closing line favored the away team by 4.5 to 6.5 points. In these games:
- The team like North Texas won the game 130 times (60.2%).
- The team like Southern Miss won the game 86 times (39.8%).
- The team like North Texas did better against the spread, going 109-107 (50.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 440 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like North Texas did better against the spread, going 219-214-7 (50.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.0 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -5.5 | -5.5 | -- |
| Open | -4.5 | -4.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/06 02:59 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/06 11:23 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/06 08:20 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/06 12:34 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 11/05 11:35 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/04 06:17 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/04 02:53 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/03 05:44 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 11/03 05:32 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/03 08:05 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/03 07:35 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/01 01:04 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 11/01 12:50 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/01 09:04 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 10/31 11:54 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 10/31 11:44 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 05:41 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 05:24 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 10/31 05:07 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 04:34 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 10/31 04:22 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
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