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Navy at S Methodist
Sat Oct 31, 2020
7:30pm ET
Dallas, TX
Navy at S Methodist: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Southern Methodist by 12.5, Total Points: 58.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NAVY | adv | SMU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-8-0 | 8-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 6-3-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 2-4-0 | 5-1-0 | |
| Away | 2-4-0 | 3-5-0 |
Navy Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/26 | Neutral | Notre Dame | +20.5 | L by 39 | -18.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Wagner | -42.5 | W by 24 | -18.5 |
| 09/14 | Away | Memphis | +11.5 | L by 4 | +7.5 |
| 09/30 | Home | S Florida | -3.5 | L by 14 | -17.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | North Texas | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 10/14 | Away | Charlotte | -3.5 | W by 14 | +10.5 |
| 10/21 | Home | Air Force | +10.5 | L by 11 | -0.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | Temple | -6.5 | L by 14 | -20.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | UAB | +2.5 | W by 25 | +27.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | E Carolina | -2.0 | W by 10 | +8.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | S Methodist | +20.5 | L by 45 | -24.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Army | +2.5 | L by 6 | -3.5 |
S Methodist Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | LA Tech | -21.0 | W by 24 | +3.0 |
| 09/09 | Away | Oklahoma | +16.0 | L by 17 | -1.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Prairie View A&M | -42.5 | W by 69 | +26.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | TX Christian | +6.5 | L by 17 | -10.5 |
| 09/30 | Home | Charlotte | -22.5 | W by 18 | -4.5 |
| 10/12 | Away | E Carolina | -11.5 | W by 21 | +9.5 |
| 10/20 | Away | Temple | -24.0 | W by 55 | +31.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Tulsa | -20.5 | W by 59 | +38.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | Rice | -13.0 | W by 5 | -8.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | North Texas | -21.0 | W by 24 | +3.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Memphis | -9.5 | W by 4 | -5.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Navy | -20.5 | W by 45 | +24.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Tulane | +2.5 | W by 12 | +14.5 |
| 12/28 | Neutral | Boston Col | -13.5 | L by 9 | -22.5 |
| SMU -12.5 | Open | -14.5 | High | -14.5 |
| Last | -13.5 | Low | -12.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 college football season there have been 169 games where the closing line favored the home team by 11.5 to 13.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Southern Methodist won the game 137 times (81.1%).
- The team like Navy won the game 32 times (18.9%).
- The team like Southern Methodist did better against the spread, going 98-70-1 (58.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 college football season there have been 5 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 3.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Navy did better against the spread, going 4-0-1 (100.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 18.5 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -12.0 | -13.0 | -- |
| Open | -15.5 | -15.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/31 07:23 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 06:47 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 06:38 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 06:14 PM | -- | -13.0 | -- |
| 10/31 06:02 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 05:32 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 04:59 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 04:47 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 04:11 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 04:04 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 10/31 03:23 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 03:04 PM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 10/31 02:56 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 02:24 PM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 10/31 02:08 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 10:35 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 10:05 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 08:08 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 07:04 AM | -- | -13.0 | -- |
| 10/31 05:44 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 10/31 05:04 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 10/31 04:53 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 03:24 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 10/31 02:44 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 10/31 01:54 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 10/31 01:34 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 10/31 12:34 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 10/30 11:54 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 10/30 10:34 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 10/30 09:14 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 10/30 08:44 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 10/30 08:23 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 11:11 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 10:44 AM | -- | -12.5 | -- |
| 10/30 08:44 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 03:29 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 03:35 AM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 01:41 AM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/28 01:05 PM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/28 11:35 AM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/28 11:11 AM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/28 10:04 AM | -- | -13.0 | -- |
| 10/28 09:23 AM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/28 09:05 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/28 09:04 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 10/28 08:05 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/28 12:32 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 09:02 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 07:53 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 04:29 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 03:44 PM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 10/26 03:26 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 12:14 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 10/26 12:04 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 10/26 11:56 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 08:34 AM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 10/26 08:26 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 11:14 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 10/25 05:24 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 10/25 04:50 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 04:47 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 04:44 PM | -- | -15.5 | -- |
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