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S Methodist at Arkansas St
Sat Aug 31, 2019
7:00pm ET
Jonesboro, AR
S Methodist at Arkansas St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Arkansas St. by 2.5, Total Points: 57.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | SMU | adv | ARST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-6-0 | 7-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-3-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 5-1-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| Away | 3-5-0 | 3-4-0 |
S Methodist Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | LA Tech | -21.0 | W by 24 | +3.0 |
| 09/09 | Away | Oklahoma | +16.0 | L by 17 | -1.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Prairie View A&M | -42.5 | W by 69 | +26.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | TX Christian | +6.5 | L by 17 | -10.5 |
| 09/30 | Home | Charlotte | -22.5 | W by 18 | -4.5 |
| 10/12 | Away | E Carolina | -11.5 | W by 21 | +9.5 |
| 10/20 | Away | Temple | -24.0 | W by 55 | +31.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Tulsa | -20.5 | W by 59 | +38.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | Rice | -13.0 | W by 5 | -8.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | North Texas | -21.0 | W by 24 | +3.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Memphis | -9.5 | W by 4 | -5.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Navy | -20.5 | W by 45 | +24.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Tulane | +2.5 | W by 12 | +14.5 |
| 12/28 | Neutral | Boston Col | -13.5 | L by 9 | -22.5 |
Arkansas St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | Oklahoma | +36.5 | L by 73 | -36.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Memphis | +21.0 | L by 34 | -13.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Stony Brook | -23.0 | W by 24 | +1.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | S Mississippi | +7.0 | W by 7 | +14.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | U Mass | +2.5 | W by 24 | +26.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Troy | +15.5 | L by 34 | -18.5 |
| 10/21 | Home | Coastal Car | +8.5 | L by 10 | -1.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | UL Monroe | +1.0 | W by 10 | +11.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Louisiana | +7.0 | W by 20 | +27.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | S Alabama | +15.0 | L by 7 | +8.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Texas St | +3.0 | W by 46 | +49.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Marshall | -1.0 | L by 14 | -15.0 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | N Illinois | -2.5 | L by 2 | -4.5 |
| ARST -2.5 | Open | -3.0 | High | -3.0 |
| Last | -3.0 | Low | -2.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 169 games where the closing line favored the home team by 0.5 to 2.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Arkansas State won the game 82 times (48.5%)
- The team like Southern Methodist won the game 87 times (51.5%)
- The team like Southern Methodist did better against the spread, going 89-80 (52.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.8 points
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 257 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Arkansas State did better against the spread, going 128-123-6 (51.0% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -1.5 | -1.5 | -- |
| Open | -3.0 | -3.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 08/31 07:04 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 08/31 07:03 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/31 06:31 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/31 06:26 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 08/31 06:12 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/31 05:12 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/31 03:50 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/31 02:30 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/31 02:20 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/31 11:44 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 08/31 10:44 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 08/31 10:28 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/31 10:25 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 08/31 10:16 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/31 02:21 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/29 08:13 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/29 10:24 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 08/29 10:14 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/29 09:04 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 08/29 08:54 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/28 10:15 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 08/28 09:54 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/28 09:24 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 08/28 08:25 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 08/28 08:00 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/28 07:54 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 08/28 07:22 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/28 07:14 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 08/28 08:03 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/27 09:54 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 08/27 06:54 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 08/27 04:04 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 08/27 03:05 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 08/27 02:50 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/27 01:56 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/27 01:08 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/27 11:08 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/26 04:41 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/26 02:41 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/25 02:26 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/21 11:24 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 08/20 02:12 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/20 02:04 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 08/19 08:24 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 08/19 07:44 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 08/19 07:25 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 08/19 07:10 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/15 08:24 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 08/15 08:16 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/13 09:46 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/13 12:24 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 08/12 11:51 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/07 11:28 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/05 02:34 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 08/05 12:54 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 07/30 02:04 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 07/22 11:14 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 07/22 02:14 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 07/22 11:04 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 07/03 03:44 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 07/03 03:36 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 06/09 05:25 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
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