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Penn St at Michigan St
Sat Oct 26, 2019
3:30pm ET
East Lansing, MI
Penn St at Michigan St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Penn St. by 4.5, Total Points: 42
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | PSU | adv | MSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-4-0 | 5-6-1 | |
| vs Conference | 6-3-0 | 3-5-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 3-6-1 | |
| Home | 5-2-0 | 3-4-0 | |
| Away | 4-2-0 | 2-2-1 |
Penn St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | W Virginia | -21.0 | W by 23 | +2.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Delaware | -44.0 | W by 56 | +12.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | Illinois | -14.0 | W by 17 | +3.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Iowa | -14.0 | W by 31 | +17.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Northwestern | -26.5 | W by 28 | +1.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | U Mass | -42.0 | W by 63 | +21.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | Ohio St | +4.0 | L by 8 | -4.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Indiana | -31.0 | W by 9 | -22.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Maryland | -7.5 | W by 36 | +28.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Michigan | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Rutgers | -19.5 | W by 21 | +1.5 |
| 11/24 | Away | Michigan St | -22.5 | W by 42 | +19.5 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Mississippi | -6.0 | L by 13 | -19.0 |
Michigan St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01 | Home | Central Mich | -14.0 | W by 24 | +10.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Richmond | -29.0 | W by 31 | +2.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Washington | +15.0 | L by 34 | -19.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Maryland | +7.0 | L by 22 | -15.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Iowa | +10.0 | L by 10 | 0.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | Rutgers | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Michigan | +25.5 | L by 49 | -23.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Minnesota | +6.5 | L by 15 | -8.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Nebraska | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Ohio St | +32.0 | L by 35 | -3.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Indiana | +3.5 | W by 3 | +6.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Penn St | +22.5 | L by 42 | -19.5 |
| PSU -4.5 | Open | -6.5 | High | -7.0 |
| Last | -5.0 | Low | -4.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 226 games where the closing line favored the away team by 4.5 to 6.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Penn State won the game 146 times (64.6%).
- The team like Michigan State won the game 80 times (35.4%).
- The team like Penn State did better against the spread, going 116-109-1 (51.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 432 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Michigan State did better against the spread, going 221-204-7 (52.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -5.5 | -5.5 | -- |
| Open | -6.0 | -5.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/26 03:34 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 10/26 03:33 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 03:05 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 03:05 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 10/26 02:31 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 01:38 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 01:35 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 12:35 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 12:07 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 10:54 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 10/26 10:42 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 10:36 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 09:35 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 07:36 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 04:38 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 02:00 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 09:34 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 09:09 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 07:31 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 07:01 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 06:31 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 05:28 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 04:45 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 03:34 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 10/25 03:24 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 01:24 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 10/25 10:24 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 10/24 07:04 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 10/24 05:56 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 05:34 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 10/24 05:04 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 05:04 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 10/24 03:34 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 10/24 03:22 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 01:37 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 12:54 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 10/24 12:46 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 11:32 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 10:04 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 10/24 09:48 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 08:50 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 12:41 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 08:38 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 02:44 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 10/23 01:33 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 12:13 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 08:04 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 12:12 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 08:16 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 05:53 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 04:44 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 10/22 04:31 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 01:04 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 10/22 12:43 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 12:14 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 10/22 11:55 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 10:54 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 10/22 05:39 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 09:54 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 08:34 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 10/21 08:14 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 10/21 08:05 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 06:28 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 04:34 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 10/21 04:30 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 04:04 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 10/21 03:51 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 01:47 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 12:04 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 10/21 11:54 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 08:37 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 07:15 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 06:34 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 10/20 06:20 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
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