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Penn St at Michigan
Sat Nov 28, 2020
12:00pm ET
Ann Arbor, MI
Penn St at Michigan: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Michigan by 1, Total Points: 56.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | PSU | adv | MICH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-4-0 | 9-5-1 | |
| vs Conference | 6-3-0 | 7-2-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | W4 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 8-2-0 | |
| Home | 5-2-0 | 2-4-1 | |
| Away | 4-2-0 | 7-1-0 |
Penn St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | W Virginia | -21.0 | W by 23 | +2.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Delaware | -44.0 | W by 56 | +12.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | Illinois | -14.0 | W by 17 | +3.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Iowa | -14.0 | W by 31 | +17.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Northwestern | -26.5 | W by 28 | +1.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | U Mass | -42.0 | W by 63 | +21.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | Ohio St | +4.0 | L by 8 | -4.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Indiana | -31.0 | W by 9 | -22.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Maryland | -7.5 | W by 36 | +28.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Michigan | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Rutgers | -19.5 | W by 21 | +1.5 |
| 11/24 | Away | Michigan St | -22.5 | W by 42 | +19.5 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Mississippi | -6.0 | L by 13 | -19.0 |
Michigan Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | E Carolina | -35.5 | W by 27 | -8.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | UNLV | -38.0 | W by 28 | -10.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Bowling Grn | -41.0 | W by 25 | -16.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Rutgers | -24.0 | W by 24 | 0.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Nebraska | -17.5 | W by 38 | +20.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Minnesota | -19.0 | W by 42 | +23.0 |
| 10/14 | Home | Indiana | -32.5 | W by 45 | +12.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Michigan St | -25.5 | W by 49 | +23.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Purdue | -31.0 | W by 28 | -3.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Penn St | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Maryland | -17.5 | W by 7 | -10.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Ohio St | -3.0 | W by 6 | +3.0 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Iowa | -21.5 | W by 26 | +4.5 |
| 01/01 | Neutral | Alabama | -2.0 | W by 7 | +5.0 |
| 01/08 | Neutral | Washington | -5.5 | W by 21 | +15.5 |
| PSU +1.5 | Open | -1.5 | High | -2.5 |
| Last | +1.0 | Low | +3.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 college football season there have been 140 games where the closing line favored the home team by -1 to 1 points. In these games:
- The team like Michigan won the game 63 times (45.0%).
- The team like Penn State won the game 77 times (55.0%).
- The team like Penn State did better against the spread, going 74-63-3 (54.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 college football season there have been 12 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 4 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Michigan did better against the spread, going 7-5 (58.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 3.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -1.0 | (Pick) | -- |
| Open | +3.5 | +3.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/28 12:04 PM | -- | (Pick) | -- |
| 11/28 11:56 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 11:54 AM | -- | +1.5 | -- |
| 11/28 11:35 AM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 11:34 AM | -- | +1.5 | -- |
| 11/28 10:59 AM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 10:54 AM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 11/28 10:41 AM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 10:35 AM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 10:34 AM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 11/28 09:50 AM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 09:08 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 08:41 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 08:29 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 08:11 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 07:41 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 04:38 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 01:44 AM | -- | (Pick) | -- |
| 11/28 01:29 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 10:22 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 09:50 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 03:47 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 03:14 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 01:11 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 11:56 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 11:44 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 11:14 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 12:20 AM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/26 07:50 PM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/26 04:04 PM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 11/26 03:53 PM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/26 03:38 PM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/26 01:05 PM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 08:38 PM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 11:29 AM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 09:44 AM | -- | +2.0 | -- |
| 11/25 09:44 AM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 08:05 AM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 02:44 PM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 11/24 08:14 AM | -- | +2.0 | -- |
| 11/23 10:32 PM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 12:23 PM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 12:14 PM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 11/23 12:02 PM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 08:34 AM | -- | +2.0 | -- |
| 11/23 08:17 AM | +2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 10:15 PM | -- | +3.5 | -- |
| 11/22 10:05 PM | +3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 09:44 PM | -- | +3.5 | -- |
| 11/22 09:35 PM | +3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/22 04:54 PM | -- | +3.5 | -- |
| 11/22 04:40 PM | +3.5 | -- | -- |
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