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Penn St at Michigan
Sat Oct 15, 2022
12:00pm ET
Ann Arbor, MI
Penn St at Michigan: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Michigan by 7, Total Points: 49
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | PSU | adv | MICH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-4-0 | 9-5-1 | |
| vs Conference | 6-3-0 | 7-2-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | W4 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 8-2-0 | |
| Home | 5-2-0 | 2-4-1 | |
| Away | 4-2-0 | 7-1-0 |
Penn St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | W Virginia | -21.0 | W by 23 | +2.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Delaware | -44.0 | W by 56 | +12.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | Illinois | -14.0 | W by 17 | +3.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Iowa | -14.0 | W by 31 | +17.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Northwestern | -26.5 | W by 28 | +1.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | U Mass | -42.0 | W by 63 | +21.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | Ohio St | +4.0 | L by 8 | -4.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Indiana | -31.0 | W by 9 | -22.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Maryland | -7.5 | W by 36 | +28.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Michigan | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Rutgers | -19.5 | W by 21 | +1.5 |
| 11/24 | Away | Michigan St | -22.5 | W by 42 | +19.5 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Mississippi | -6.0 | L by 13 | -19.0 |
Michigan Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | E Carolina | -35.5 | W by 27 | -8.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | UNLV | -38.0 | W by 28 | -10.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Bowling Grn | -41.0 | W by 25 | -16.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Rutgers | -24.0 | W by 24 | 0.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Nebraska | -17.5 | W by 38 | +20.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Minnesota | -19.0 | W by 42 | +23.0 |
| 10/14 | Home | Indiana | -32.5 | W by 45 | +12.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Michigan St | -25.5 | W by 49 | +23.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Purdue | -31.0 | W by 28 | -3.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Penn St | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Maryland | -17.5 | W by 7 | -10.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Ohio St | -3.0 | W by 6 | +3.0 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Iowa | -21.5 | W by 26 | +4.5 |
| 01/01 | Neutral | Alabama | -2.0 | W by 7 | +5.0 |
| 01/08 | Neutral | Washington | -5.5 | W by 21 | +15.5 |
| MICH -7.0 | Open | -5.5 | High | -10.5 |
| Last | -7.5 | Low | -5.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 college football season there have been 327 games where the closing line favored the home team by 6 to 8 points. In these games:
- The team like Michigan won the game 235 times (71.9%).
- The team like Penn State won the game 92 times (28.1%).
- The team like Penn State did better against the spread, going 162-157-8 (50.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 college football season there have been 315 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Penn State did better against the spread, going 167-140-8 (54.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.5 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -7.0 | -7.0 | -- |
| Open | -7.0 | -7.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/15 12:05 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/15 12:01 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 11:23 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 10:26 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 09:43 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 09:32 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 08:01 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 06:31 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 02:10 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 12:26 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 10:11 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 07:01 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 03:20 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 02:46 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 11:13 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 10:53 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 10:01 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 12:35 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/13 08:56 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/13 07:14 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/13 02:54 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/13 02:34 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/13 02:05 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/13 01:35 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/13 12:24 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/13 12:05 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/13 11:08 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/13 08:07 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 01:05 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/12 12:56 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 10:23 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 08:44 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/12 08:08 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 06:38 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 06:25 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/11 02:25 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/11 01:08 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 10:23 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 09:38 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 09:24 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/11 04:47 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 11:47 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 09:05 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 07:41 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 02:17 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 01:20 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 12:23 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 11:04 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/10 10:47 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 10:34 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/10 10:20 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 09:04 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 10/09 06:34 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/09 06:19 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/09 05:24 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/09 05:07 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/09 04:35 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/09 03:37 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
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