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Pittsburgh at Duke
Sat Nov 6, 2021
12:00pm ET
Durham, NC
Pittsburgh at Duke: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Pittsburgh by 21, Total Points: 64.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | PITT | adv | DUKE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-8-0 | 7-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 4-2-0 | 4-3-0 | |
| Away | 0-6-0 | 3-3-0 |
Pittsburgh Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Wofford | -37.5 | W by 38 | +0.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Cincinnati | -6.5 | L by 6 | -12.5 |
| 09/16 | Away | W Virginia | +2.5 | L by 11 | -8.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | N Carolina | +7.0 | L by 17 | -10.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | VA Tech | -3.0 | L by 17 | -20.0 |
| 10/14 | Home | Louisville | +7.0 | W by 17 | +24.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | Wake Forest | -2.5 | L by 4 | -6.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Notre Dame | +21.0 | L by 51 | -30.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Florida St | +20.5 | L by 17 | +3.5 |
| 11/11 | Neutral | Syracuse | -3.5 | L by 15 | -18.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | Boston Col | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Duke | +4.5 | L by 11 | -6.5 |
Duke Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04 | Home | Clemson | +12.0 | W by 21 | +33.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Lafayette | -43.5 | W by 35 | -8.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Northwestern | -17.0 | W by 24 | +7.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Connecticut | -22.0 | W by 34 | +12.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Notre Dame | +5.5 | L by 7 | -1.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | NC State | -3.5 | W by 21 | +17.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Florida St | +14.5 | L by 18 | -3.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Louisville | +5.0 | L by 23 | -18.0 |
| 11/02 | Home | Wake Forest | -7.0 | W by 3 | -4.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | N Carolina | +10.0 | L by 2 | +8.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Virginia | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Pittsburgh | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Troy | +6.5 | W by 7 | +13.5 |
| PITT -21.0 | Open | -21.0 | High | -21.5 |
| Last | -21.5 | Low | -20.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 49 games where the closing line favored the away team by 20 to 22 points. In these games:
- The team like Pittsburgh won the game 45 times (91.8%).
- The team like Duke won the game 4 times (8.2%).
- The team like Pittsburgh did better against the spread, going 25-22-2 (53.2% ATS).
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 357 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Duke did better against the spread, going 177-173-7 (50.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -21.0 | -21.0 | -- |
| Open | -20.5 | -20.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/06 11:59 AM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/06 11:54 AM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 11/06 11:26 AM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/06 10:50 AM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/06 10:11 AM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/06 09:56 AM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/06 08:20 AM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/06 02:14 AM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/06 01:54 AM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 11/05 04:20 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 01:59 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 11:14 AM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 11/05 09:17 AM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/04 01:25 AM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/03 06:44 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/03 08:05 AM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/01 02:02 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/01 08:54 AM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 10/31 05:35 PM | -20.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 04:24 PM | -- | -20.5 | -- |
| 10/31 04:16 PM | -20.5 | -- | -- |
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