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E Carolina at NC State
Sat Aug 31, 2019
12:00pm ET
Raleigh, NC
E Carolina at NC State: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: NC State by 17.5, Total Points: 51.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ECU | adv | NCST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7-0 | 7-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-0 | 6-2-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 2-4-0 | 5-2-0 | |
| Away | 3-3-0 | 2-4-0 |
E Carolina Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | Michigan | +35.5 | L by 27 | +8.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Marshall | +3.0 | L by 18 | -15.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | App State | +7.5 | L by 15 | -7.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | Gard-Webb | -13.5 | W by 44 | +30.5 |
| 09/30 | Away | Rice | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 10/12 | Home | S Methodist | +11.5 | L by 21 | -9.5 |
| 10/21 | Home | Charlotte | -6.0 | L by 3 | -9.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | UTSA | +18.0 | L by 14 | +4.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Tulane | +17.0 | L by 3 | +14.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Fla Atlantic | +7.5 | W by 15 | +22.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Navy | +2.0 | L by 10 | -8.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Tulsa | -3.0 | L by 2 | -5.0 |
NC State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/31 | Away | Connecticut | -14.5 | W by 10 | -4.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Notre Dame | +7.0 | L by 21 | -14.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | VA Military | -43.0 | W by 38 | -5.0 |
| 09/22 | Away | Virginia | -7.5 | W by 3 | -4.5 |
| 09/29 | Home | Louisville | +3.5 | L by 3 | +0.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Marshall | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 10/14 | Away | Duke | +3.5 | L by 21 | -17.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Clemson | +10.0 | W by 7 | +17.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Miami | +6.5 | W by 14 | +20.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Wake Forest | -2.0 | W by 20 | +18.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | VA Tech | +2.5 | W by 7 | +9.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | N Carolina | +2.5 | W by 19 | +21.5 |
| 12/28 | Neutral | Kansas St | +3.0 | L by 9 | -6.0 |
| NCST -17.5 | Open | -20.0 | High | -20.0 |
| Last | -17.0 | Low | -16.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 185 games where the closing line favored the home team by 16.5 to 18.5 points. In these games:
- The team like NC State won the game 168 times (90.8%)
- The team like East Carolina won the game 17 times (9.2%)
- The team like NC State did better against the spread, going 96-84-5 (53.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.0 points
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 188 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like East Carolina did better against the spread, going 98-88-2 (52.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.0 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -17.5 | -17.5 | -- |
| Open | -16.5 | -20.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 08/31 12:04 PM | -- | -17.5 | -- |
| 08/31 12:00 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/31 11:49 AM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/31 11:20 AM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/31 11:14 AM | -- | -17.5 | -- |
| 08/31 10:53 AM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/31 10:34 AM | -- | -17.5 | -- |
| 08/31 10:24 AM | -- | -17.5 | -- |
| 08/31 10:16 AM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/31 09:34 AM | -- | -17.5 | -- |
| 08/31 09:31 AM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/31 09:24 AM | -- | -17.5 | -- |
| 08/31 09:19 AM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/31 08:37 AM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/30 09:14 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 08/30 07:44 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 08/30 07:39 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/30 07:13 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/30 04:54 PM | -- | -17.5 | -- |
| 08/30 03:24 PM | -- | -17.5 | -- |
| 08/30 03:19 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/30 02:44 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 08/30 12:53 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/30 10:18 AM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/29 05:44 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 08/29 05:34 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/29 05:14 PM | -- | -17.5 | -- |
| 08/29 05:02 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/29 01:54 PM | -- | -17.5 | -- |
| 08/29 01:04 PM | -- | -17.5 | -- |
| 08/29 12:52 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/29 10:34 AM | -- | -17.5 | -- |
| 08/29 09:34 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 08/29 09:04 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 08/29 08:20 AM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/28 05:04 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 08/28 04:55 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/28 11:03 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/28 08:03 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/27 11:00 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/27 09:44 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/26 12:24 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 08/24 03:16 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 08/24 02:54 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 08/23 08:24 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 08/23 07:44 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 08/21 07:55 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 08/21 07:24 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 08/21 05:34 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 08/21 02:24 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 08/21 01:54 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 08/08 02:24 PM | -- | -17.5 | -- |
| 08/06 01:35 AM | -- | -17.5 | -- |
| 08/04 11:44 AM | -- | -18.0 | -- |
| 08/01 01:04 PM | -- | -18.0 | -- |
| 07/30 09:24 AM | -- | -18.0 | -- |
| 07/22 05:35 PM | -- | -19.0 | -- |
| 07/22 05:24 PM | -- | -19.0 | -- |
| 07/22 02:34 PM | -- | -19.0 | -- |
| 07/21 08:54 PM | -- | -19.5 | -- |
| 07/18 08:44 AM | -- | -20.0 | -- |
| 07/17 01:01 PM | -- | -20.0 | -- |
| 06/09 12:44 PM | -- | -20.0 | -- |
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