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Arkansas at Mississippi
Sat Sep 7, 2019
7:30pm ET
Oxford, MS
Arkansas at Mississippi: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Mississippi by 5.5, Total Points: 50.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ARK | adv | MISS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7-0 | 7-4-2 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 3-3-2 | |
| Streak | L3 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 1-2-2 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 4-4-2 | |
| Home | 1-6-0 | 4-2-1 | |
| Away | 4-1-0 | 3-2-1 |
Arkansas Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | W Carolina | -38.0 | W by 43 | +5.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Kent St | -38.0 | W by 22 | -16.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | BYU | -8.0 | L by 7 | -15.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | LSU | +17.5 | L by 3 | +14.5 |
| 09/30 | Neutral | Texas A&M | +6.5 | L by 12 | -5.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Mississippi | +13.0 | L by 7 | +6.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | Alabama | +19.0 | L by 3 | +16.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Miss State | -7.0 | L by 4 | -11.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Florida | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Auburn | -2.0 | L by 38 | -40.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Florida Intl | -26.5 | W by 24 | -2.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Missouri | +9.5 | L by 34 | -24.5 |
Mississippi Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Mercer | -35.0 | W by 66 | +31.0 |
| 09/09 | Away | Tulane | -13.0 | W by 17 | +4.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | GA Tech | -17.0 | W by 25 | +8.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Alabama | +7.0 | L by 14 | -7.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | LSU | +2.5 | W by 6 | +8.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Arkansas | -13.0 | W by 7 | -6.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | Auburn | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Vanderbilt | -24.0 | W by 26 | +2.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Texas A&M | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Georgia | +11.0 | L by 35 | -24.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | UL Monroe | -36.0 | W by 32 | -4.0 |
| 11/23 | Away | Miss State | -10.0 | W by 10 | 0.0 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Penn St | +6.0 | W by 13 | +19.0 |
| MISS -5.5 | Open | -7.0 | High | -7.0 |
| Last | -6.0 | Low | -5.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 186 games where the closing line favored the home team by 4 to 6 points. In these games:
- The team like Mississippi won the game 129 times (69.4%)
- The team like Arkansas won the game 57 times (30.6%)
- The team like Mississippi did better against the spread,
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 211 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Arkansas did better against the spread, going 105-100-6 (51.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -5.0 | -5.5 | -- |
| Open | -7.0 | -7.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 09/07 07:40 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/07 06:59 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/07 06:51 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/07 04:44 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 09/07 04:33 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/07 04:04 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 09/07 03:40 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/07 03:24 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 09/07 03:14 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/07 02:10 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/07 01:54 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 09/07 01:44 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/07 12:04 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 09/07 11:54 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/07 10:05 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/07 07:03 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/07 05:40 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/07 12:12 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 05:03 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 02:24 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 09/06 02:08 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 01:45 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 09/06 01:31 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 12:03 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 11:14 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 09/05 07:23 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/05 03:13 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/05 02:05 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/05 01:34 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 09/05 01:34 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/05 12:44 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 09/05 12:29 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/04 11:13 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/04 11:08 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/04 08:03 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/04 03:55 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 09/04 02:51 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/04 02:44 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 09/03 07:14 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/03 07:03 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/03 06:37 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/03 04:24 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/03 04:12 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/03 02:44 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/03 01:28 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/03 12:59 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/03 10:34 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/03 09:25 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/03 09:00 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/03 08:54 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/03 08:41 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 02:02 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 01:44 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/02 01:19 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/02 12:47 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/01 06:52 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/01 06:04 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/01 05:51 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
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