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UNLV at Nevada
Fri Oct 29, 2021
10:00pm ET
Reno, NV
UNLV at Nevada: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Nevada by 18.5, Total Points: 58
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UNLV | adv | NEV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 10-4-0 | 6-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-3-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Streak | L3 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 4-3-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| Away | 6-1-0 | 4-2-0 |
UNLV Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Bryant | -16.5 | W by 30 | +13.5 |
| 09/09 | Away | Michigan | +38.0 | L by 28 | +10.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Vanderbilt | +4.5 | W by 3 | +7.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | TX El Paso | +2.0 | W by 17 | +19.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Hawaii | -11.0 | W by 24 | +13.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | Nevada | -7.5 | W by 18 | +10.5 |
| 10/21 | Home | Colorado St | -6.5 | W by 2 | -4.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Fresno St | +10.5 | L by 7 | +3.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | New Mexico | -14.5 | W by 42 | +27.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Wyoming | -3.0 | W by 20 | +17.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Air Force | +3.0 | W by 4 | +7.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | San Jose St | -1.0 | L by 6 | -7.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Boise St | +2.0 | L by 24 | -22.0 |
| 12/26 | Neutral | Kansas | +7.5 | L by 13 | -5.5 |
Nevada Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | USC | +37.5 | L by 52 | -14.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Idaho | +5.0 | L by 27 | -22.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Kansas | +28.0 | L by 7 | +21.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Texas St | +17.0 | L by 11 | +6.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Fresno St | +25.5 | L by 18 | +7.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | UNLV | +7.5 | L by 18 | -10.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | San Diego St | +11.0 | W by 6 | +17.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | New Mexico | +1.0 | W by 10 | +11.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Hawaii | -3.5 | L by 13 | -16.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Utah St | +15.0 | L by 17 | -2.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Colorado St | +12.5 | L by 10 | +2.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Wyoming | +11.5 | L by 36 | -24.5 |
| NEV -18.5 | Open | -20.0 | High | -21.0 |
| Last | -19.0 | Low | -18.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 139 games where the closing line favored the home team by 17.5 to 19.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Nevada won the game 123 times (88.5%).
- The team like UNLV won the game 16 times (11.5%).
- The team like Nevada did better against the spread, going 71-67-1 (51.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.0 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 306 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Nevada did better against the spread, going 159-141-6 (53.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -18.5 | -19.0 | -- |
| Open | -20.5 | -20.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/29 10:04 PM | -- | -19.0 | -- |
| 10/29 09:56 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 09:44 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 08:34 PM | -- | -19.0 | -- |
| 10/29 08:17 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 07:54 PM | -- | -19.0 | -- |
| 10/29 07:38 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 07:14 PM | -- | -19.0 | -- |
| 10/29 06:59 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 06:24 PM | -- | -19.0 | -- |
| 10/29 06:02 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 04:47 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 04:05 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 03:38 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 03:17 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 01:50 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 01:26 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 12:56 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 11:38 AM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 10:56 AM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 09:04 AM | -- | -20.0 | -- |
| 10/29 08:17 AM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 02:02 AM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/28 05:43 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/28 04:50 AM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/28 01:05 AM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 12:17 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 10:26 AM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 08:02 AM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 02:14 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 09:05 AM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 03:05 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 01:11 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 01:05 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 11:38 AM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 11:17 AM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 11:02 AM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 10:44 AM | -20.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 10:23 AM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 08:23 AM | -20.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 08:35 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 05:22 PM | -20.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 04:44 PM | -- | -20.5 | -- |
| 10/24 04:28 PM | -20.5 | -- | -- |
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