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Arkansas St at S Mississippi
Sat Oct 15, 2022
7:00pm ET
Hattiesburg, MS
Arkansas St at S Mississippi: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Southern Miss by 4.5, Total Points: 53
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ARST | adv | USM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-6-0 | 4-8-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 4-2-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| Away | 3-4-0 | 2-4-0 |
Arkansas St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | Oklahoma | +36.5 | L by 73 | -36.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Memphis | +21.0 | L by 34 | -13.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Stony Brook | -23.0 | W by 24 | +1.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | S Mississippi | +7.0 | W by 7 | +14.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | U Mass | +2.5 | W by 24 | +26.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Troy | +15.5 | L by 34 | -18.5 |
| 10/21 | Home | Coastal Car | +8.5 | L by 10 | -1.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | UL Monroe | +1.0 | W by 10 | +11.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Louisiana | +7.0 | W by 20 | +27.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | S Alabama | +15.0 | L by 7 | +8.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Texas St | +3.0 | W by 46 | +49.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Marshall | -1.0 | L by 14 | -15.0 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | N Illinois | -2.5 | L by 2 | -4.5 |
S Mississippi Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Alcorn State | -24.0 | W by 26 | +2.0 |
| 09/09 | Away | Florida St | +31.0 | L by 53 | -22.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Tulane | +8.0 | L by 18 | -10.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Arkansas St | -7.0 | L by 7 | -14.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Texas St | +6.5 | L by 14 | -7.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Old Dominion | -3.0 | L by 4 | -7.0 |
| 10/17 | Away | S Alabama | +18.5 | L by 52 | -33.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | App State | +16.0 | L by 10 | +6.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | UL Monroe | -3.0 | W by 17 | +14.0 |
| 11/09 | Away | Louisiana | +7.5 | W by 3 | +10.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Miss State | +18.5 | L by 21 | -2.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Troy | +17.0 | L by 18 | -1.0 |
| USM -4.5 | Open | -3.5 | High | -4.5 |
| Last | -4.0 | Low | -3.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 college football season there have been 246 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Southern Miss won the game 159 times (64.6%).
- The team like Arkansas St. won the game 87 times (35.4%).
- The team like Arkansas St. did better against the spread, going 136-109-1 (55.5% ATS).
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 college football season there have been 406 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Southern Miss did better against the spread, going 201-200-5 (50.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.5 | -4.5 | -- |
| Open | -4.0 | -4.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/15 06:52 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 06:25 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 04:16 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 04:05 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 02:52 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 01:34 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 10/15 01:32 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 01:05 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 12:35 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 10/15 12:32 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 12:07 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 11:29 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 10:44 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 10:23 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 10:02 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 08:14 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 06:29 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 04:11 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 02:14 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/13 07:17 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/13 10:58 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 08:56 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 10/12 07:25 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 10/12 06:02 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 03:59 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 03:17 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 09:05 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 10/12 08:59 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 08:17 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 06:59 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 10:04 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/11 09:47 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 10:07 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/09 06:14 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/09 06:02 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/09 05:24 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 10/09 04:31 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
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