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Toledo at Notre Dame
Sat Sep 11, 2021
2:30pm ET
South Bend, IN
Toledo at Notre Dame: Over/Under Analysis
Odds: Notre Dame by 16.5, Total Points: 55
Over/Under Situational Trends
| Record | TOL | ND |
|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-7-0 | 9-4-0 |
| vs Conference | 4-5-0 | 0-0-0 |
| Streak | Un 3 | Ov 6 |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 5-0-0 |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 7-3-0 |
| Home | 4-2-0 | 5-1-0 |
| Away | 3-5-0 | 4-3-0 |
Records denote overs-unders-pushes
Toledo Detailed Over/Under Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Total | Score | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | Illinois | 45.0 | 28-30 | Over | +13.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Texas Southern | 63.0 | 71-3 | Over | +11.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | San Jose St | 56.5 | 21-17 | Under | -18.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | W Michigan | 51.5 | 49-31 | Over | +28.5 |
| 09/30 | Home | N Illinois | 48.0 | 35-33 | Over | +20.0 |
| 10/07 | Away | U Mass | 55.5 | 41-24 | Over | +9.5 |
| 10/14 | Away | Ball St | 48.5 | 13-6 | Under | -29.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Miami (OH) | 46.5 | 21-17 | Under | -8.5 |
| 10/31 | Home | Buffalo | 47.0 | 31-13 | Under | -3.0 |
| 11/08 | Home | E Michigan | 45.0 | 49-23 | Over | +27.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Bowling Grn | 49.5 | 32-31 | Over | +13.5 |
| 11/24 | Away | Central Mich | 54.5 | 32-17 | Under | -5.5 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Miami (OH) | 43.0 | 14-23 | Under | -6.0 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Wyoming | 43.5 | 15-16 | Under | -12.5 |
Notre Dame Detailed Over/Under Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Total | Score | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/26 | Neutral | Navy | 49.0 | 42-3 | Under | -4.0 |
| 09/02 | Home | TN State | 55.0 | 56-3 | Over | +4.0 |
| 09/09 | Away | NC State | 49.5 | 45-24 | Over | +19.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Central Mich | 51.0 | 41-17 | Over | +7.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Ohio St | 55.5 | 14-17 | Under | -24.5 |
| 09/30 | Away | Duke | 53.0 | 21-14 | Under | -18.0 |
| 10/07 | Away | Louisville | 54.0 | 20-33 | Under | -1.0 |
| 10/14 | Home | USC | 60.5 | 48-20 | Over | +7.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Pittsburgh | 46.5 | 58-7 | Over | +18.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | Clemson | 43.0 | 23-31 | Over | +11.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Wake Forest | 48.0 | 45-7 | Over | +4.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Stanford | 50.5 | 56-23 | Over | +28.5 |
| 12/29 | Neutral | Oregon St | 40.5 | 40-8 | Over | +7.5 |
| Total 55.0 | Open | 52.5 | High | 56.0 |
| Last | 55.5 | Low | 52.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 412 games with over/under lines between 54 and 56. In these games:
- Games have gone over the line 202 times (49.0%).
- Games have gone under the line 204 times (49.5%).
- Games have pushed the line 6 times (1.5%).
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 102 games where the closing over/under line was 2.5 points higher than the opening over/under line.
In these games, the under performed better, going 52-48-2 (52.0%). Game totals went under the line by an average of 0.2 points.
Totals History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 55.0 | 55.0 | -- |
| Open | 52.5 | 52.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 09/11 02:34 PM | -- | 55.0 | -- |
| 09/11 02:23 PM | 55.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 02:08 PM | 55.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 01:44 PM | 55.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 01:02 PM | 55.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 12:38 PM | 55.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 12:34 PM | -- | 55.0 | -- |
| 09/11 12:15 PM | 55.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 12:05 PM | -- | 56.0 | -- |
| 09/11 11:56 AM | -- | 56.0 | -- |
| 09/11 11:56 AM | 55.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 11:04 AM | -- | 55.5 | -- |
| 09/11 10:56 AM | 56.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 09:45 AM | -- | 55.0 | -- |
| 09/11 09:34 AM | -- | 55.0 | -- |
| 09/11 08:16 AM | -- | 55.0 | -- |
| 09/11 07:59 AM | 56.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 07:38 AM | 56.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 06:53 AM | 55.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 05:32 AM | 55.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 04:38 AM | 55.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 01:15 AM | 55.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/10 11:54 PM | -- | 55.0 | -- |
| 09/10 06:23 PM | 55.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/10 12:41 PM | 55.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/10 09:56 AM | 55.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/10 09:11 AM | 55.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/10 12:29 AM | 55.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/09 06:35 PM | 55.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/09 09:53 AM | 55.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/08 07:14 PM | 56.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/08 01:57 PM | -- | 55.5 | -- |
| 09/08 01:41 PM | 56.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/08 01:32 PM | 55.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/08 08:02 AM | 55.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/07 07:53 PM | 55.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/07 04:38 PM | 55.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/07 04:05 PM | -- | 55.0 | -- |
| 09/07 03:17 PM | 55.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/07 02:04 PM | -- | 54.5 | -- |
| 09/07 12:05 AM | 54.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 05:14 PM | -- | 54.0 | -- |
| 09/06 05:11 PM | 54.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 04:36 PM | -- | 53.5 | -- |
| 09/06 04:24 PM | -- | 53.5 | -- |
| 09/06 03:24 PM | -- | 53.5 | -- |
| 09/06 03:02 PM | 54.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 02:41 PM | 53.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 12:38 PM | 53.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 12:23 PM | 53.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 10:56 AM | 53.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 10:11 AM | 53.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 09:23 AM | 53.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 09:04 AM | -- | 53.5 | -- |
| 09/06 08:24 AM | -- | 52.5 | -- |
| 09/06 08:17 AM | 53.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 05:04 AM | -- | 52.5 | -- |
| 09/06 04:34 AM | -- | 52.5 | -- |
| 09/06 03:34 AM | -- | 52.5 | -- |
| 09/06 03:06 AM | -- | 52.5 | -- |
| 09/05 11:05 PM | 53.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/05 09:31 PM | 52.5 | -- | -- |
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