ATS Situational Trends

Record TOL adv NIU
Season 7-7-0 6-7-0
vs Conference 4-5-0 4-4-0
Streak W1 W1
Last 5 3-2-0 2-3-0
Last 10 5-5-0 5-5-0
Home 3-3-0 2-4-0
Away 4-4-0 4-3-0

Toledo Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
09/02 Away Illinois +7.5 L by 2 +5.5
09/09 Home Texas Southern -40.0 W by 68 +28.0
09/16 Home San Jose St -9.0 W by 4 -5.0
09/23 Home W Michigan -21.5 W by 18 -3.5
09/30 Home N Illinois -13.5 W by 2 -11.5
10/07 Away U Mass -19.0 W by 17 -2.0
10/14 Away Ball St -17.5 W by 7 -10.5
10/21 Away Miami (OH) -2.5 W by 4 +1.5
10/31 Home Buffalo -14.5 W by 18 +3.5
11/08 Home E Michigan -20.0 W by 26 +6.0
11/14 Away Bowling Grn -10.0 W by 1 -9.0
11/24 Away Central Mich -10.0 W by 15 +5.0
12/02 Neutral Miami (OH) -6.5 L by 9 -15.5
12/30 Neutral Wyoming +5.0 L by 1 +4.0

N Illinois Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
09/02 Away Boston Col +8.0 W by 3 +11.0
09/09 Home S Illinois -7.5 L by 3 -10.5
09/16 Away Nebraska +11.5 L by 24 -12.5
09/23 Home Tulsa -3.5 L by 8 -11.5
09/30 Away Toledo +13.5 L by 2 +11.5
10/07 Away Akron -4.0 W by 41 +37.0
10/14 Home Ohio +5.5 W by 10 +15.5
10/21 Home E Michigan -11.5 W by 7 -4.5
10/31 Away Central Mich -6.5 L by 6 -12.5
11/07 Home Ball St -9.0 L by 3 -12.0
11/14 Home W Michigan -4.5 W by 24 +19.5
11/25 Away Kent St -20.5 W by 10 -10.5
12/23 Neutral Arkansas St +2.5 W by 2 +4.5
TOL Spread NIU Spread
TOL -6.5 Open -5.5 High -6.5
Last -5.5 Low -5.0

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2017-2018 college football season there have been 249 games where the closing line favored the away team by 5.5 to 7.5 points. In these games:

  • The team like Toledo won the game 160 times (64.3%).
  • The team like Northern Illinois won the game 89 times (35.7%).
  • The team like Toledo did better against the spread, going 120-119-10 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2019-2020 college football season there have been 392 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Toledo did better against the spread, going 198-189-5 (51.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -6.5 -6.5 --
Open -5.0 -6.0 --
History
10/08 03:29 PM -6.5 -- --
10/08 03:25 PM -- -6.5 --
10/08 12:46 PM -5.5 -- --
10/08 11:38 AM -5.5 -- --
10/08 09:08 AM -5.5 -- --
10/08 08:38 AM -5.5 -- --
10/07 09:56 PM -5.5 -- --
10/07 06:55 PM -- -5.5 --
10/07 04:25 PM -- -4.5 --
10/07 04:08 PM -5.5 -- --
10/07 11:53 AM -5.5 -- --
10/05 07:30 PM -5.5 -- --
10/05 03:05 PM -- -5.5 --
10/05 11:32 AM -5.5 -- --
10/04 08:45 AM -- -5.0 --
10/03 12:14 PM -5.5 -- --
10/03 09:14 AM -- -5.5 --
10/03 08:41 AM -5.5 -- --
10/02 05:44 PM -- -6.0 --
10/02 05:05 PM -5.0 -- --