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Toledo at U Mass
Sat Oct 2, 2021
12:00pm ET
Amherst, MA
Toledo at U Mass: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Toledo by 26.5, Total Points: 56.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | TOL | adv | MASS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-7-0 | 5-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-5-0 | 1-1-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 3-3-0 | 1-5-0 | |
| Away | 4-4-0 | 4-2-0 |
Toledo Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | Illinois | +7.5 | L by 2 | +5.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Texas Southern | -40.0 | W by 68 | +28.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | San Jose St | -9.0 | W by 4 | -5.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | W Michigan | -21.5 | W by 18 | -3.5 |
| 09/30 | Home | N Illinois | -13.5 | W by 2 | -11.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | U Mass | -19.0 | W by 17 | -2.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | Ball St | -17.5 | W by 7 | -10.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Miami (OH) | -2.5 | W by 4 | +1.5 |
| 10/31 | Home | Buffalo | -14.5 | W by 18 | +3.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | E Michigan | -20.0 | W by 26 | +6.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Bowling Grn | -10.0 | W by 1 | -9.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Central Mich | -10.0 | W by 15 | +5.0 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Miami (OH) | -6.5 | L by 9 | -15.5 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Wyoming | +5.0 | L by 1 | +4.0 |
U Mass Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/26 | Away | N Mex State | +6.5 | W by 11 | +17.5 |
| 09/02 | Away | Auburn | +35.0 | L by 45 | -10.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Miami (OH) | +7.0 | L by 13 | -6.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | E Michigan | +8.0 | L by 2 | +6.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | New Mexico | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Arkansas St | -2.5 | L by 24 | -26.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Toledo | +19.0 | L by 17 | +2.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | Penn St | +42.0 | L by 63 | -21.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | Army | +10.0 | W by 7 | +17.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Merrimack | -16.5 | W by 10 | -6.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Liberty | +26.0 | L by 24 | +2.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Connecticut | -2.5 | L by 13 | -15.5 |
| TOL -26.5 | Open | -26.5 | High | -27.0 |
| Last | -27.0 | Low | -26.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 27 games where the closing line favored the away team by 25.5 to 27.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Toledo won the game 25 times (92.6%).
- The team like Massachusetts won the game 2 times (7.4%).
- The team like Toledo did better against the spread, going 15-12 (55.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.9 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 317 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Massachusetts did better against the spread, going 162-148-7 (52.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -27.0 | -27.0 | -- |
| Open | -26.0 | -26.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/02 12:04 PM | -- | -27.0 | -- |
| 10/02 11:59 AM | -27.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 11:44 AM | -27.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 11:17 AM | -27.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 11:08 AM | -27.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 10:41 AM | -27.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 10:26 AM | -27.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 10:02 AM | -27.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 08:29 AM | -27.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 06:41 AM | -27.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 05:22 AM | -27.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 03:26 AM | -27.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 01:05 AM | -27.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 07:11 PM | -27.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 02:50 PM | -27.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 08:50 PM | -27.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 08:14 PM | -27.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 04:38 PM | -27.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 10:53 AM | -27.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 06:48 PM | -27.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 02:05 PM | -27.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 11:38 AM | -27.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 08:02 AM | -27.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 09:08 PM | -27.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 06:26 PM | -27.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 05:14 PM | -27.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 04:23 PM | -27.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 04:05 PM | -27.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 02:14 PM | -27.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 01:32 PM | -27.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 12:24 PM | -- | -27.0 | -- |
| 09/28 12:02 PM | -27.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 11:14 AM | -- | -26.0 | -- |
| 09/28 10:34 AM | -- | -26.0 | -- |
| 09/28 09:54 AM | -- | -26.0 | -- |
| 09/28 12:14 AM | -- | -26.0 | -- |
| 09/27 11:32 PM | -26.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 08:19 AM | -26.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 07:25 PM | -26.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 07:04 PM | -- | -26.0 | -- |
| 09/26 04:43 PM | -26.0 | -- | -- |
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