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Michigan St at Northwestern
Fri Sep 3, 2021
9:00pm ET
Evanston, IL
Michigan St at Northwestern: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Northwestern by 3, Total Points: 45
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MSU | adv | NW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-6-1 | 9-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-1 | 7-2-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W7 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 5-0-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-6-1 | 8-2-0 | |
| Home | 3-4-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| Away | 2-2-1 | 5-2-0 |
Michigan St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01 | Home | Central Mich | -14.0 | W by 24 | +10.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Richmond | -29.0 | W by 31 | +2.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Washington | +15.0 | L by 34 | -19.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Maryland | +7.0 | L by 22 | -15.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Iowa | +10.0 | L by 10 | 0.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | Rutgers | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Michigan | +25.5 | L by 49 | -23.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Minnesota | +6.5 | L by 15 | -8.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Nebraska | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Ohio St | +32.0 | L by 35 | -3.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Indiana | +3.5 | W by 3 | +6.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Penn St | +22.5 | L by 42 | -19.5 |
Northwestern Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03 | Away | Rutgers | +5.0 | L by 17 | -12.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | TX El Paso | -1.0 | W by 31 | +30.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | Duke | +17.0 | L by 24 | -7.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Minnesota | +12.0 | W by 3 | +15.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Penn St | +26.5 | L by 28 | -1.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Howard | -23.0 | W by 3 | -20.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | Nebraska | +10.5 | L by 8 | +2.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Maryland | +14.5 | W by 6 | +20.5 |
| 11/04 | Neutral | Iowa | +5.0 | L by 3 | +2.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Wisconsin | +12.5 | W by 14 | +26.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Purdue | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Illinois | +6.5 | W by 2 | +8.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Utah | +7.0 | W by 7 | +14.0 |
| NW -3.0 | Open | -6.0 | High | -6.0 |
| Last | -3.5 | Low | -2.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 315 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2 to 4 points. In these games:
- The team like Northwestern won the game 180 times (57.1%).
- The team like Michigan State won the game 135 times (42.9%).
- The team like Michigan State did better against the spread, going 162-141-12 (53.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 106 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 3 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Northwestern did better against the spread, going 55-51 (51.9% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.0 | -3.5 | -- |
| Open | -4.0 | -6.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 09/03 09:05 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/03 08:56 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/03 08:45 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 09/03 07:56 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/03 07:54 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 09/03 07:32 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/03 07:08 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/03 06:47 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/03 06:14 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/03 06:12 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/03 06:05 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/03 05:54 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/03 05:35 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/03 04:54 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/03 04:05 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/03 04:04 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/03 01:59 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/03 01:32 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/03 01:17 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/03 10:52 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/03 10:44 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/03 10:01 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 09/03 09:14 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 09/03 08:45 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 09/03 08:26 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/03 07:51 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/03 03:23 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/03 02:14 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 09:23 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 06:17 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 03:47 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 12:26 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 10:02 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 05:44 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 01:59 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/01 08:02 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/31 10:46 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 08/30 12:47 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/25 10:26 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/24 12:41 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/23 08:44 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 08/23 01:08 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/22 11:05 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/21 11:53 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/17 01:14 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 08/06 04:24 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 08/06 11:53 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 07/07 01:04 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
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