ATS Situational Trends

Record UNC adv UVA
Season 6-7-0 8-4-0
vs Conference 3-5-0 6-2-0
Streak L4 L1
Last 5 1-4-0 3-2-0
Last 10 4-6-0 7-3-0
Home 4-3-0 4-2-0
Away 2-4-0 4-2-0

N Carolina Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
09/02 Neutral S Carolina -2.5 W by 14 +11.5
09/09 Home App State -19.5 W by 6 -13.5
09/16 Home Minnesota -7.0 W by 18 +11.0
09/23 Away Pittsburgh -7.0 W by 17 +10.0
10/07 Home Syracuse -9.5 W by 33 +23.5
10/14 Home Miami -3.0 W by 10 +7.0
10/21 Home Virginia -24.0 L by 4 -28.0
10/28 Away GA Tech -12.0 L by 4 -16.0
11/04 Home Campbell -38.5 W by 52 +13.5
11/11 Home Duke -10.0 W by 2 -8.0
11/18 Away Clemson +8.0 L by 11 -3.0
11/25 Away NC State -2.5 L by 19 -21.5
12/27 Neutral W Virginia +4.5 L by 20 -15.5

Virginia Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
09/02 Neutral Tennessee +27.5 L by 36 -8.5
09/09 Home James Mad +6.0 L by 1 +5.0
09/15 Away Maryland +16.0 L by 28 -12.0
09/22 Home NC State +7.5 L by 3 +4.5
09/30 Away Boston Col +5.5 L by 3 +2.5
10/07 Home Wm & Mary -7.5 W by 14 +6.5
10/21 Away N Carolina +24.0 W by 4 +28.0
10/28 Away Miami +19.0 L by 3 +16.0
11/04 Home GA Tech -1.0 L by 28 -29.0
11/09 Away Louisville +20.0 L by 7 +13.0
11/18 Home Duke +3.0 W by 3 +6.0
11/25 Home VA Tech +1.0 L by 38 -37.0
UNC -8.0 Open -7.0 High -8.0
Last -7.5 Low -6.5

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2015-2016 college football season there have been 177 games where the closing line favored the away team by 7 to 9 points. In these games:

  • The team like North Carolina won the game 127 times (71.8%).
  • The team like Virginia won the game 50 times (28.2%).
  • The team like North Carolina did better against the spread, going 94-75-8 (55.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.9 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2017-2018 college football season there have been 12 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Virginia did better against the spread, going 8-4 (66.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.1 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -7.5 -8.5 --
Open -7.0 -7.0 --
History
10/31 08:02 PM -7.5 -- --
10/31 07:44 PM -- -8.5 --
10/31 07:29 PM -7.5 -- --
10/31 07:05 PM -7.5 -- --
10/31 07:04 PM -- -7.5 --
10/31 06:41 PM -7.5 -- --
10/31 06:20 PM -7.5 -- --
10/31 06:02 PM -7.5 -- --
10/31 03:38 PM -8.0 -- --
10/31 03:26 PM -8.0 -- --
10/31 11:53 AM -8.0 -- --
10/31 11:20 AM -8.0 -- --
10/31 10:59 AM -7.5 -- --
10/31 10:05 AM -7.5 -- --
10/31 07:59 AM -7.5 -- --
10/30 10:24 PM -- -7.5 --
10/30 10:04 PM -- -7.5 --
10/30 09:34 PM -- -7.5 --
10/30 08:34 PM -- -7.5 --
10/30 06:44 PM -- -7.5 --
10/30 06:29 PM -7.5 -- --
10/30 05:44 PM -- -7.0 --
10/30 04:34 PM -- -7.0 --
10/30 04:14 PM -- -7.0 --
10/30 04:04 PM -- -7.0 --
10/30 03:34 PM -- -7.0 --
10/30 03:20 PM -7.0 -- --
10/30 02:44 PM -- -7.0 --
10/30 02:04 PM -- -7.0 --
10/30 01:53 PM -7.0 -- --
10/30 05:14 AM -- -7.0 --
10/30 03:38 AM -7.0 -- --
10/29 11:54 PM -- -7.0 --
10/29 11:05 PM -7.0 -- --
10/29 07:15 PM -- -7.0 --
10/29 07:04 PM -- -7.0 --
10/29 06:23 PM -7.0 -- --
10/29 12:14 PM -- -7.0 --
10/28 04:44 PM -7.0 -7.0 --
10/28 04:23 PM -6.5 -- --
10/28 08:05 AM -6.5 -- --
10/26 10:02 PM -6.5 -- --
10/26 04:04 PM -- -6.5 --
10/26 03:34 PM -- -6.5 --
10/26 03:20 PM -6.5 -- --
10/26 01:14 PM -- -6.5 --
10/26 12:24 PM -- -7.0 --
10/26 12:11 PM -7.0 -- --
10/26 09:14 AM -- -7.0 --
10/26 09:04 AM -- -7.0 --
10/26 09:02 AM -7.0 -- --
10/26 08:20 AM -7.0 -- --
10/25 11:04 PM -- -7.0 --
10/25 05:24 PM -- -7.0 --
10/25 04:34 PM -- -7.0 --
10/25 04:26 PM -7.0 -- --