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N Carolina at Notre Dame
Sat Oct 30, 2021
7:30pm ET
South Bend, IN
N Carolina at Notre Dame: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Notre Dame by 3.5, Total Points: 62.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UNC | adv | ND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-7-0 | 9-3-1 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| Streak | L4 | W3 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 6-3-1 | |
| Home | 4-3-0 | 4-1-1 | |
| Away | 2-4-0 | 5-2-0 |
N Carolina Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Neutral | S Carolina | -2.5 | W by 14 | +11.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | App State | -19.5 | W by 6 | -13.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Minnesota | -7.0 | W by 18 | +11.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Pittsburgh | -7.0 | W by 17 | +10.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | Syracuse | -9.5 | W by 33 | +23.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | Miami | -3.0 | W by 10 | +7.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Virginia | -24.0 | L by 4 | -28.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | GA Tech | -12.0 | L by 4 | -16.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Campbell | -38.5 | W by 52 | +13.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Duke | -10.0 | W by 2 | -8.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Clemson | +8.0 | L by 11 | -3.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | NC State | -2.5 | L by 19 | -21.5 |
| 12/27 | Neutral | W Virginia | +4.5 | L by 20 | -15.5 |
Notre Dame Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/26 | Neutral | Navy | -20.5 | W by 39 | +18.5 |
| 09/02 | Home | TN State | -48.5 | W by 53 | +4.5 |
| 09/09 | Away | NC State | -7.0 | W by 21 | +14.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Central Mich | -35.0 | W by 24 | -11.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Ohio St | +3.0 | L by 3 | 0.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Duke | -5.5 | W by 7 | +1.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Louisville | -6.5 | L by 13 | -19.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | USC | -3.0 | W by 28 | +25.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Pittsburgh | -21.0 | W by 51 | +30.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Clemson | -3.5 | L by 8 | -11.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Wake Forest | -24.0 | W by 38 | +14.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Stanford | -26.0 | W by 33 | +7.0 |
| 12/29 | Neutral | Oregon St | -5.5 | W by 32 | +26.5 |
| ND -3.5 | Open | -2.5 | High | -6.0 |
| Last | -3.0 | Low | -2.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 383 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Notre Dame won the game 220 times (57.4%).
- The team like North Carolina won the game 163 times (42.6%).
- The team like North Carolina did better against the spread, going 199-172-12 (53.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 306 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like North Carolina did better against the spread, going 159-141-6 (53.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.5 | -3.5 | -- |
| Open | -3.5 | -4.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/30 07:34 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/30 07:29 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 07:23 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 07:04 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/30 06:41 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 06:14 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/30 06:05 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 05:56 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 05:54 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/30 05:23 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 04:54 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/30 04:53 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 04:14 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/30 04:11 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 03:56 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 03:54 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/30 02:04 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/30 01:34 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/30 01:05 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 12:38 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 11:59 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 10:20 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 08:38 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 07:23 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 05:50 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 03:05 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 10:35 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 09:08 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 06:04 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/29 11:35 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 03:35 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/28 10:05 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/28 02:56 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/28 11:14 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/27 11:20 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 10:20 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 08:02 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 11:32 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 06:34 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/26 06:24 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/26 05:05 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 03:47 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 06:24 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/24 05:54 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/24 05:04 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/24 04:53 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
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