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Auburn at Miss State
Sat Nov 5, 2022
7:30pm ET
Starkville, MS
Auburn at Miss State: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Mississippi St. by 12.5, Total Points: 50.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | AUB | adv | MSST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-7-0 | 3-8-1 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3-0 | 1-6-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | P1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-3-1 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 2-7-1 | |
| Home | 4-3-0 | 2-5-1 | |
| Away | 2-4-0 | 1-3-0 |
Auburn Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | U Mass | -35.0 | W by 45 | +10.0 |
| 09/09 | Away | California | -5.0 | W by 4 | -1.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Samford | -38.5 | W by 32 | -6.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | Texas A&M | +10.0 | L by 17 | -7.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Georgia | +14.0 | L by 7 | +7.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | LSU | +11.0 | L by 30 | -19.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Mississippi | +6.5 | L by 7 | -0.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Miss State | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | Vanderbilt | -12.5 | W by 16 | +3.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Arkansas | +2.0 | W by 38 | +40.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | N Mex State | -25.0 | L by 21 | -46.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Alabama | +13.5 | L by 3 | +10.5 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Maryland | -4.0 | L by 18 | -22.0 |
Miss State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | SE Louisiana | -31.5 | W by 41 | +9.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Arizona | -9.0 | W by 7 | -2.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | LSU | +9.5 | L by 27 | -17.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | S Carolina | +6.0 | L by 7 | -1.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Alabama | +16.5 | L by 23 | -6.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | W Michigan | -21.5 | W by 13 | -8.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Arkansas | +7.0 | W by 4 | +11.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | Auburn | +6.5 | L by 14 | -7.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Kentucky | +5.5 | L by 21 | -15.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Texas A&M | +16.5 | L by 41 | -24.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | S Mississippi | -18.5 | W by 21 | +2.5 |
| 11/23 | Home | Mississippi | +10.0 | L by 10 | 0.0 |
| MSST -12.5 | Open | -11.5 | High | -13.5 |
| Last | -13.0 | Low | -10.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 college football season there have been 179 games where the closing line favored the home team by 11.5 to 13.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Mississippi State won the game 146 times (81.6%).
- The team like Auburn won the game 33 times (18.4%).
- The team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 100-78-1 (56.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 college football season there have been 437 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 218-214-5 (50.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -12.5 | -13.0 | -- |
| Open | -11.0 | -10.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/05 07:22 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 07:02 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 06:34 PM | -- | -13.0 | -- |
| 11/05 04:34 PM | -- | -12.5 | -- |
| 11/05 11:14 AM | -- | -12.5 | -- |
| 11/05 10:44 AM | -- | -12.5 | -- |
| 11/05 09:41 AM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 08:55 AM | -- | -12.5 | -- |
| 11/05 08:41 AM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 08:02 AM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/05 07:05 AM | -- | -12.5 | -- |
| 11/05 04:02 AM | -- | -13.0 | -- |
| 11/05 12:05 AM | -- | -13.0 | -- |
| 11/04 07:45 PM | -- | -13.0 | -- |
| 11/04 10:14 AM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/04 01:45 AM | -- | -13.0 | -- |
| 11/04 12:29 AM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/03 02:32 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/03 01:26 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/03 10:26 AM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/02 08:02 AM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/01 09:17 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/01 08:55 PM | -- | -13.0 | -- |
| 11/01 07:55 PM | -- | -13.0 | -- |
| 11/01 06:25 PM | -- | -12.5 | -- |
| 11/01 06:14 PM | -- | -13.0 | -- |
| 11/01 06:05 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 04:45 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 10/31 01:14 PM | -- | -13.0 | -- |
| 10/31 01:02 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 09:14 AM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 10/31 08:54 AM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 10/31 08:53 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 08:32 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/31 08:24 AM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 10/30 06:14 PM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 10/30 06:01 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 05:34 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
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