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LSU at Miss State
Sat Oct 19, 2019
3:30pm ET
Starkville, MS
LSU at Miss State: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Louisiana St. by 18.5, Total Points: 62.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | LSU | adv | MSST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-5-0 | 3-8-1 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3-0 | 1-6-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | P1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-3-1 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 2-7-1 | |
| Home | 6-1-0 | 2-5-1 | |
| Away | 2-4-0 | 1-3-0 |
LSU Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03 | Neutral | Florida St | -1.5 | L by 21 | -22.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Grambling St | -57.0 | W by 62 | +5.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | Miss State | -9.5 | W by 27 | +17.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | Arkansas | -17.5 | W by 3 | -14.5 |
| 09/30 | Away | Mississippi | -2.5 | L by 6 | -8.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Missouri | -6.0 | W by 10 | +4.0 |
| 10/14 | Home | Auburn | -11.0 | W by 30 | +19.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Army | -32.5 | W by 62 | +29.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | Alabama | +3.0 | L by 14 | -11.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Florida | -16.0 | W by 17 | +1.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Georgia St | -32.0 | W by 42 | +10.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Texas A&M | -11.0 | W by 12 | +1.0 |
| 01/01 | Neutral | Wisconsin | -9.5 | W by 4 | -5.5 |
Miss State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | SE Louisiana | -31.5 | W by 41 | +9.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Arizona | -9.0 | W by 7 | -2.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | LSU | +9.5 | L by 27 | -17.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | S Carolina | +6.0 | L by 7 | -1.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Alabama | +16.5 | L by 23 | -6.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | W Michigan | -21.5 | W by 13 | -8.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Arkansas | +7.0 | W by 4 | +11.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | Auburn | +6.5 | L by 14 | -7.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Kentucky | +5.5 | L by 21 | -15.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Texas A&M | +16.5 | L by 41 | -24.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | S Mississippi | -18.5 | W by 21 | +2.5 |
| 11/23 | Home | Mississippi | +10.0 | L by 10 | 0.0 |
| LSU -18.5 | Open | -19.0 | High | -19.5 |
| Last | -19.0 | Low | -17.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 95 games where the closing line favored the away team by 16.5 to 18.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Louisiana State won the game 87 times (91.6%).
- The team like Mississippi State won the game 8 times (8.4%).
- The team like Louisiana State did better against the spread, going 51-41-3 (55.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.0 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 299 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 147-146-6 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -17.5 | -19.5 | -- |
| Open | -18.5 | -18.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/19 03:34 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 03:26 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 02:56 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 02:25 PM | -19.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 02:04 PM | -- | -19.5 | -- |
| 10/19 01:18 PM | -19.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 12:23 PM | -19.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 11:46 AM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 11:35 AM | -- | -19.0 | -- |
| 10/19 11:23 AM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 11:14 AM | -- | -18.0 | -- |
| 10/19 10:34 AM | -- | -18.0 | -- |
| 10/19 10:04 AM | -- | -18.0 | -- |
| 10/19 09:35 AM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 08:56 AM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 06:27 AM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 03:45 AM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 11:14 PM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 11:04 PM | -- | -18.5 | -- |
| 10/18 09:05 PM | -- | -18.0 | -- |
| 10/18 08:49 PM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 04:22 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 07:33 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 04:57 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 04:27 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 02:04 PM | -- | -17.5 | -- |
| 10/17 02:02 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 12:27 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 06:15 AM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 02:57 AM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 06:44 PM | -- | -18.5 | -- |
| 10/16 06:02 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 02:34 PM | -- | -18.0 | -- |
| 10/16 11:35 AM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 10:54 AM | -- | -18.5 | -- |
| 10/16 10:26 AM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 08:09 AM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 06:24 AM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 04:51 AM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 04:47 AM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 09:32 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 05:44 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 04:14 PM | -- | -18.0 | -- |
| 10/15 04:01 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 02:34 PM | -- | -18.5 | -- |
| 10/14 08:51 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 08:14 PM | -- | -19.5 | -- |
| 10/14 06:34 PM | -- | -19.0 | -- |
| 10/14 04:26 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 01:24 PM | -- | -18.5 | -- |
| 10/14 11:25 AM | -- | -19.0 | -- |
| 10/14 10:27 AM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 08:35 AM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 07:59 AM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 12:13 AM | -- | -19.0 | -- |
| 10/13 10:33 PM | -- | -19.0 | -- |
| 10/13 10:21 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/13 09:54 PM | -- | -18.5 | -- |
| 10/13 09:37 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/13 08:14 PM | -- | -19.0 | -- |
| 10/13 07:38 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/13 07:33 PM | -- | -18.5 | -- |
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