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USC at Notre Dame
Sat Oct 12, 2019
7:30pm ET
South Bend, IN
USC at Notre Dame: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Notre Dame by 10.5, Total Points: 59
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | USC | adv | ND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-9-0 | 9-3-1 | |
| vs Conference | 2-7-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W3 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8-0 | 6-3-1 | |
| Home | 2-5-0 | 4-1-1 | |
| Away | 2-4-0 | 5-2-0 |
USC Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/26 | Home | San Jose St | -31.0 | W by 28 | -3.0 |
| 09/02 | Home | Nevada | -37.5 | W by 52 | +14.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Stanford | -28.5 | W by 46 | +17.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | Arizona St | -34.5 | W by 14 | -20.5 |
| 09/30 | Away | Colorado | -21.5 | W by 7 | -14.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Arizona | -21.0 | W by 2 | -19.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | Notre Dame | +3.0 | L by 28 | -25.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Utah | -7.0 | L by 2 | -9.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | California | -10.5 | W by 1 | -9.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Washington | +2.5 | L by 10 | -7.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Oregon | +16.5 | L by 9 | +7.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | UCLA | -5.0 | L by 18 | -23.0 |
| 12/27 | Neutral | Louisville | +5.0 | W by 14 | +19.0 |
Notre Dame Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/26 | Neutral | Navy | -20.5 | W by 39 | +18.5 |
| 09/02 | Home | TN State | -48.5 | W by 53 | +4.5 |
| 09/09 | Away | NC State | -7.0 | W by 21 | +14.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Central Mich | -35.0 | W by 24 | -11.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Ohio St | +3.0 | L by 3 | 0.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Duke | -5.5 | W by 7 | +1.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Louisville | -6.5 | L by 13 | -19.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | USC | -3.0 | W by 28 | +25.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Pittsburgh | -21.0 | W by 51 | +30.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Clemson | -3.5 | L by 8 | -11.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Wake Forest | -24.0 | W by 38 | +14.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Stanford | -26.0 | W by 33 | +7.0 |
| 12/29 | Neutral | Oregon St | -5.5 | W by 32 | +26.5 |
| ND -10.5 | Open | -11.5 | High | -11.5 |
| Last | -11.0 | Low | -10.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 256 games where the closing line favored the home team by 9.5 to 11.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Notre Dame won the game 187 times (73.0%).
- The team like Southern California won the game 69 times (27.0%).
- The team like Southern California did better against the spread, going 131-122-3 (51.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 412 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Southern California did better against the spread, going 212-193-7 (52.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -10.5 | -10.5 | -- |
| Open | -11.0 | -11.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/12 07:30 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 06:47 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 06:14 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 06:14 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 10/12 05:53 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 05:27 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 10/12 04:40 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 04:06 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 03:34 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 10/12 03:27 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 03:24 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 10/12 03:23 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 02:39 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 01:28 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 12:51 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 12:19 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 11:52 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 11:23 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 10:33 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 10:24 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 09:55 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 08:50 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 02:22 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 10:21 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 09:51 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 07:38 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 05:51 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 01:56 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 04:12 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 01:45 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 08:37 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 08:35 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 07:37 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 07:36 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 05:07 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 04:18 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 04:05 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 03:16 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 11:33 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 08:08 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/09 11:45 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/09 08:49 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/09 08:04 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 10/09 06:55 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/09 04:37 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/09 03:38 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/09 02:45 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/09 01:00 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/09 12:33 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/09 11:34 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/09 08:04 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/08 11:39 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/08 09:42 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/08 02:05 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/08 11:57 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/07 09:37 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/07 06:34 PM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 10/07 06:19 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/07 04:04 PM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 10/07 03:47 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/07 02:34 PM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 10/07 09:04 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/06 06:34 PM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 10/06 05:59 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
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