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Northwestern at Wisconsin
Sat Nov 13, 2021
12:00pm ET
Madison, WI
Northwestern at Wisconsin: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Wisconsin by 25.5, Total Points: 42
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NW | adv | WIS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-4-0 | 6-6-1 | |
| vs Conference | 7-2-0 | 4-4-1 | |
| Streak | W7 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2-0 | 5-4-1 | |
| Home | 4-2-0 | 2-4-1 | |
| Away | 5-2-0 | 4-2-0 |
Northwestern Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03 | Away | Rutgers | +5.0 | L by 17 | -12.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | TX El Paso | -1.0 | W by 31 | +30.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | Duke | +17.0 | L by 24 | -7.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Minnesota | +12.0 | W by 3 | +15.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Penn St | +26.5 | L by 28 | -1.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Howard | -23.0 | W by 3 | -20.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | Nebraska | +10.5 | L by 8 | +2.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Maryland | +14.5 | W by 6 | +20.5 |
| 11/04 | Neutral | Iowa | +5.0 | L by 3 | +2.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Wisconsin | +12.5 | W by 14 | +26.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Purdue | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Illinois | +6.5 | W by 2 | +8.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Utah | +7.0 | W by 7 | +14.0 |
Wisconsin Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Buffalo | -28.5 | W by 21 | -7.5 |
| 09/09 | Away | Wash State | -5.5 | L by 9 | -14.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | GA Southern | -20.5 | W by 21 | +0.5 |
| 09/22 | Away | Purdue | -6.0 | W by 21 | +15.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | Rutgers | -12.5 | W by 11 | -1.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | Iowa | -8.5 | L by 9 | -17.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Illinois | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Ohio St | +14.5 | L by 14 | +0.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | Indiana | -7.5 | L by 6 | -13.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Northwestern | -12.5 | L by 14 | -26.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Nebraska | -7.0 | W by 7 | 0.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Minnesota | -3.0 | W by 14 | +11.0 |
| 01/01 | Neutral | LSU | +9.5 | L by 4 | +5.5 |
| WIS -25.5 | Open | -15.0 | High | -25.5 |
| Last | -24.5 | Low | -15.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 75 games where the closing line favored the home team by 24.5 to 26.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Wisconsin won the game 71 times (94.7%).
- The team like Northwestern won the game 4 times (5.3%).
- The team like Wisconsin did better against the spread, going 38-37 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 0 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 10.5 points more than the opening line.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -25.5 | -25.5 | -- |
| Open | -24.0 | -24.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/13 12:02 PM | -25.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/13 11:32 AM | -25.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/13 11:05 AM | -25.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/13 11:04 AM | -- | -25.5 | -- |
| 11/13 09:59 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/13 08:20 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/13 07:14 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/13 04:59 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 10:38 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 06:41 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 05:59 PM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 04:38 PM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 02:08 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/11 06:32 PM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/11 03:40 PM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/11 12:08 PM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/11 11:54 AM | -- | -24.5 | -- |
| 11/10 11:53 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/10 08:41 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/10 08:04 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/10 05:17 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/10 04:59 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 03:45 PM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 03:20 PM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 08:14 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 08:08 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 04:47 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 12:05 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/08 09:34 PM | -- | -25.0 | -- |
| 11/08 09:14 PM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/08 12:04 PM | -- | -24.0 | -- |
| 11/08 10:04 AM | -- | -24.0 | -- |
| 11/08 08:56 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/08 06:54 AM | -- | -24.0 | -- |
| 11/08 06:47 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/07 06:24 PM | -- | -24.0 | -- |
| 11/07 06:11 PM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/07 05:41 PM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/07 05:24 PM | -- | -24.0 | -- |
| 11/07 04:52 PM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
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