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Kentucky at Miss State
Sat Oct 30, 2021
7:00pm ET
Starkville, MS
Kentucky at Miss State: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Mississippi St. by 1, Total Points: 47
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UK | adv | MSST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-6-0 | 3-8-1 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-0 | 1-6-1 | |
| Streak | W2 | P1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-3-1 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 2-7-1 | |
| Home | 3-4-0 | 2-5-1 | |
| Away | 4-2-0 | 1-3-0 |
Kentucky Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Ball St | -25.5 | W by 30 | +4.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | E Kentucky | -34.5 | W by 11 | -23.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Akron | -25.5 | W by 32 | +6.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | Vanderbilt | -13.0 | W by 17 | +4.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Florida | -1.0 | W by 19 | +18.0 |
| 10/07 | Away | Georgia | +14.5 | L by 38 | -23.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | Missouri | -1.5 | L by 17 | -18.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Tennessee | +4.0 | L by 6 | -2.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Miss State | -5.5 | W by 21 | +15.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Alabama | +10.5 | L by 28 | -17.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | S Carolina | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Louisville | +7.5 | W by 7 | +14.5 |
| 12/29 | Neutral | Clemson | +3.5 | L by 3 | +0.5 |
Miss State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | SE Louisiana | -31.5 | W by 41 | +9.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Arizona | -9.0 | W by 7 | -2.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | LSU | +9.5 | L by 27 | -17.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | S Carolina | +6.0 | L by 7 | -1.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Alabama | +16.5 | L by 23 | -6.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | W Michigan | -21.5 | W by 13 | -8.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Arkansas | +7.0 | W by 4 | +11.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | Auburn | +6.5 | L by 14 | -7.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Kentucky | +5.5 | L by 21 | -15.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Texas A&M | +16.5 | L by 41 | -24.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | S Mississippi | -18.5 | W by 21 | +2.5 |
| 11/23 | Home | Mississippi | +10.0 | L by 10 | 0.0 |
| MSST -1.0 | Open | -0.5 | High | -1.5 |
| Last | -1.5 | Low | +1.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 154 games where the closing line favored the home team by 0 to 2 points. In these games:
- The team like Mississippi State won the game 78 times (50.6%).
- The team like Kentucky won the game 76 times (49.4%).
- The team like Kentucky did better against the spread, going 77-76-1 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 513 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Kentucky did better against the spread, going 254-248-11 (50.6% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -1.0 | -1.0 | -- |
| Open | +1.0 | +1.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/30 07:04 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 10/30 06:56 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 06:04 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 10/30 05:50 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 05:08 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 04:54 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 10/30 04:50 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 04:23 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 03:38 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 03:26 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 12:47 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 12:38 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 11:47 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 11:32 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 10:56 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 10:29 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 09:59 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 08:47 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 08:29 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/30 12:50 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 09:34 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 10/29 04:11 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/29 03:02 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/28 10:35 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/28 07:44 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 10/28 07:11 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/28 06:47 PM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 10/28 06:05 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/28 06:04 PM | -- | (Pick) | -- |
| 10/28 05:54 PM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 10/28 05:50 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/28 11:26 AM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/28 06:44 AM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/28 03:26 AM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 06:44 PM | -- | +1.5 | -- |
| 10/27 04:14 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 12:14 PM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 10/27 08:02 AM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 01:34 PM | -- | +1.5 | -- |
| 10/25 05:29 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 04:35 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 08:50 AM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 05:04 PM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 10/24 04:47 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
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