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Northwestern at Nebraska
Sat Oct 2, 2021
7:30pm ET
Lincoln, NE
Northwestern at Nebraska: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Nebraska by 11, Total Points: 51.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NW | adv | NEB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-4-0 | 4-7-1 | |
| vs Conference | 7-2-0 | 3-5-1 | |
| Streak | W7 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0-0 | 1-3-1 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2-0 | 3-6-1 | |
| Home | 4-2-0 | 2-5-0 | |
| Away | 5-2-0 | 2-2-1 |
Northwestern Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03 | Away | Rutgers | +5.0 | L by 17 | -12.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | TX El Paso | -1.0 | W by 31 | +30.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | Duke | +17.0 | L by 24 | -7.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Minnesota | +12.0 | W by 3 | +15.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Penn St | +26.5 | L by 28 | -1.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Howard | -23.0 | W by 3 | -20.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | Nebraska | +10.5 | L by 8 | +2.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Maryland | +14.5 | W by 6 | +20.5 |
| 11/04 | Neutral | Iowa | +5.0 | L by 3 | +2.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Wisconsin | +12.5 | W by 14 | +26.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Purdue | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Illinois | +6.5 | W by 2 | +8.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Utah | +7.0 | W by 7 | +14.0 |
Nebraska Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/31 | Away | Minnesota | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
| 09/09 | Away | Colorado | +2.5 | L by 22 | -19.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | N Illinois | -11.5 | W by 24 | +12.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | LA Tech | -20.0 | W by 14 | -6.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Michigan | +17.5 | L by 38 | -20.5 |
| 10/06 | Away | Illinois | +3.0 | W by 13 | +16.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Northwestern | -10.5 | W by 8 | -2.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Purdue | +1.5 | W by 17 | +18.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | Michigan St | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Maryland | +1.5 | L by 3 | -1.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Wisconsin | +7.0 | L by 7 | 0.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Iowa | -2.5 | L by 3 | -5.5 |
| NEB -11.0 | Open | -6.5 | High | -12.0 |
| Last | -11.5 | Low | -6.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 213 games where the closing line favored the home team by 10 to 12 points. In these games:
- The team like Nebraska won the game 169 times (79.3%).
- The team like Northwestern won the game 44 times (20.7%).
- The team like Nebraska did better against the spread, going 107-102-4 (51.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.9 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 40 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 4.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Northwestern did better against the spread, going 21-18-1 (53.8% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -11.0 | -11.5 | -- |
| Open | -9.5 | -10.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/02 07:28 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 07:26 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 06:56 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 05:38 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 04:29 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 03:59 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 02:32 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 11:23 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 08:29 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 05:29 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 02:56 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 08:14 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 07:23 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 01:23 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 11:20 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 10:59 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 12:35 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 08:29 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 05:44 PM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 09/30 05:24 PM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 09/30 05:08 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 05:04 PM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 09/30 12:47 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/30 08:23 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 05:14 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 01:56 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 10:54 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 10:44 AM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 09/29 08:02 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 07:55 AM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 09/28 09:17 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 01:24 PM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 09/28 01:17 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 11:02 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 01:29 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 02:44 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 11:45 AM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 09/27 10:29 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 07:50 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 06:58 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 06:54 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 09/26 06:07 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 05:32 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
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