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Kentucky at Alabama
Sat Nov 21, 2020
4:00pm ET
Tuscaloosa, AL
Kentucky at Alabama: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Alabama by 31.5, Total Points: 57.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UK | adv | ALA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-6-0 | 9-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-0 | 7-2-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 3-4-0 | 5-2-0 | |
| Away | 4-2-0 | 4-3-0 |
Kentucky Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Ball St | -25.5 | W by 30 | +4.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | E Kentucky | -34.5 | W by 11 | -23.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Akron | -25.5 | W by 32 | +6.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | Vanderbilt | -13.0 | W by 17 | +4.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Florida | -1.0 | W by 19 | +18.0 |
| 10/07 | Away | Georgia | +14.5 | L by 38 | -23.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | Missouri | -1.5 | L by 17 | -18.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Tennessee | +4.0 | L by 6 | -2.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Miss State | -5.5 | W by 21 | +15.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Alabama | +10.5 | L by 28 | -17.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | S Carolina | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Louisville | +7.5 | W by 7 | +14.5 |
| 12/29 | Neutral | Clemson | +3.5 | L by 3 | +0.5 |
Alabama Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Middle Tenn | -39.0 | W by 49 | +10.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Texas | -7.0 | L by 10 | -17.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | S Florida | -34.5 | W by 14 | -20.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | Mississippi | -7.0 | W by 14 | +7.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Miss State | -16.5 | W by 23 | +6.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Texas A&M | -2.5 | W by 6 | +3.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | Arkansas | -19.0 | W by 3 | -16.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Tennessee | -8.5 | W by 14 | +5.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | LSU | -3.0 | W by 14 | +11.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Kentucky | -10.5 | W by 28 | +17.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Chattanooga | -44.0 | W by 56 | +12.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Auburn | -13.5 | W by 3 | -10.5 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Georgia | +5.5 | W by 3 | +8.5 |
| 01/01 | Neutral | Michigan | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| ALA -31.5 | Open | -29.5 | High | -32.5 |
| Last | -32.0 | Low | -29.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 college football season there have been 43 games where the closing line favored the home team by 30 to 32 points. In these games:
- The team like Alabama won the game 41 times (95.3%).
- The team like Kentucky won the game 2 times (4.7%).
- The team like Kentucky did better against the spread, going 26-16-1 (61.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 3.8 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 college football season there have been 19 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Kentucky did better against the spread, going 14-5 (73.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 4.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -31.5 | -31.5 | -- |
| Open | -29.5 | -29.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/21 03:59 PM | -31.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 03:44 PM | -31.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 03:20 PM | -31.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 03:05 PM | -32.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 02:14 PM | -- | -31.5 | -- |
| 11/21 02:02 PM | -31.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 01:23 PM | -31.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 12:54 PM | -- | -31.5 | -- |
| 11/21 12:34 PM | -- | -31.5 | -- |
| 11/21 12:20 PM | -31.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 12:14 PM | -- | -31.5 | -- |
| 11/21 11:56 AM | -31.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 11:44 AM | -32.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 11:11 AM | -32.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 10:44 AM | -32.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 10:23 AM | -32.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 10:04 AM | -- | -32.0 | -- |
| 11/21 09:50 AM | -32.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 09:42 AM | -31.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 09:34 AM | -- | -31.5 | -- |
| 11/21 09:26 AM | -31.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 08:54 AM | -- | -31.5 | -- |
| 11/21 08:05 AM | -31.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 07:08 AM | -31.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/21 03:50 AM | -31.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 11:20 PM | -31.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 09:24 PM | -- | -32.0 | -- |
| 11/20 09:08 PM | -32.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 09:05 PM | -32.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 09:04 PM | -- | -31.0 | -- |
| 11/20 08:04 PM | -- | -30.5 | -- |
| 11/20 07:44 PM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 07:23 PM | -30.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 04:56 PM | -30.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 02:56 PM | -30.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 11:17 AM | -30.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/19 07:50 PM | -30.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/19 06:59 PM | -30.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/19 02:11 PM | -30.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/18 11:20 AM | -30.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/18 10:24 AM | -- | -30.0 | -- |
| 11/18 10:02 AM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/18 09:44 AM | -- | -31.0 | -- |
| 11/18 09:04 AM | -- | -31.0 | -- |
| 11/18 08:08 AM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/17 07:05 PM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/17 06:02 PM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/17 05:23 PM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/17 04:02 PM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/17 08:54 AM | -- | -31.0 | -- |
| 11/17 08:42 AM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 04:20 PM | -30.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 01:55 PM | -- | -30.0 | -- |
| 11/15 05:34 PM | -- | -29.5 | -- |
| 11/15 05:11 PM | -29.5 | -- | -- |
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