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Nevada at Air Force
Fri Sep 23, 2022
8:00pm ET
Colorado Springs, CO
Nevada at Air Force: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Air Force by 24, Total Points: 47
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NEV | adv | AFA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-6-0 | 6-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 2-4-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Away | 4-2-0 | 4-4-0 |
Nevada Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | USC | +37.5 | L by 52 | -14.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Idaho | +5.0 | L by 27 | -22.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Kansas | +28.0 | L by 7 | +21.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Texas St | +17.0 | L by 11 | +6.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Fresno St | +25.5 | L by 18 | +7.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | UNLV | +7.5 | L by 18 | -10.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | San Diego St | +11.0 | W by 6 | +17.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | New Mexico | +1.0 | W by 10 | +11.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Hawaii | -3.5 | L by 13 | -16.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Utah St | +15.0 | L by 17 | -2.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Colorado St | +12.5 | L by 10 | +2.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Wyoming | +11.5 | L by 36 | -24.5 |
Air Force Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Robert Morris | -47.0 | W by 35 | -12.0 |
| 09/09 | Neutral | Sam Hous St | -13.5 | W by 10 | -3.5 |
| 09/15 | Home | Utah St | -9.0 | W by 18 | +9.0 |
| 09/22 | Away | San Jose St | -6.5 | W by 25 | +18.5 |
| 09/30 | Home | San Diego St | -10.5 | W by 39 | +28.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | Wyoming | -12.5 | W by 7 | -5.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Navy | -10.5 | W by 11 | +0.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Colorado St | -14.5 | W by 17 | +2.5 |
| 11/04 | Neutral | Army | -18.5 | L by 20 | -38.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Hawaii | -20.0 | L by 14 | -34.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | UNLV | -3.0 | L by 4 | -7.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Boise St | +6.5 | L by 8 | -1.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | James Mad | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| AFA -24.0 | Open | -25.0 | High | -25.0 |
| Last | -24.5 | Low | -24.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 college football season there have been 118 games where the closing line favored the home team by 23 to 25 points. In these games:
- The team like Air Force won the game 109 times (92.4%).
- The team like Nevada won the game 9 times (7.6%).
- The team like Nevada did better against the spread, going 61-57 (51.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.7 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 college football season there have been 375 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Nevada did better against the spread, going 190-180-5 (51.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -24.0 | -24.0 | -- |
| Open | -24.5 | -24.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 09/23 08:05 PM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 06:37 PM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 06:01 PM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 11:05 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 10:07 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 09:01 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 08:19 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/22 05:14 PM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/22 08:26 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 11:49 PM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 07:05 PM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 12:17 PM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 01:14 PM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 11:41 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 10:59 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 09:24 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 02:44 PM | -- | -24.0 | -- |
| 09/19 02:32 PM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 01:54 PM | -- | -24.5 | -- |
| 09/19 01:08 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 12:54 PM | -- | -25.0 | -- |
| 09/18 06:15 PM | -- | -24.5 | -- |
| 09/18 04:47 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
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