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NC State at Miss State
Sat Sep 11, 2021
7:00pm ET
Starkville, MS
NC State at Miss State: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: NC State by 1.5, Total Points: 55
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NCST | adv | MSST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-6-0 | 3-8-1 | |
| vs Conference | 6-2-0 | 1-6-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | P1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 1-3-1 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 2-7-1 | |
| Home | 5-2-0 | 2-5-1 | |
| Away | 2-4-0 | 1-3-0 |
NC State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/31 | Away | Connecticut | -14.5 | W by 10 | -4.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Notre Dame | +7.0 | L by 21 | -14.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | VA Military | -43.0 | W by 38 | -5.0 |
| 09/22 | Away | Virginia | -7.5 | W by 3 | -4.5 |
| 09/29 | Home | Louisville | +3.5 | L by 3 | +0.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Marshall | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 10/14 | Away | Duke | +3.5 | L by 21 | -17.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Clemson | +10.0 | W by 7 | +17.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Miami | +6.5 | W by 14 | +20.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Wake Forest | -2.0 | W by 20 | +18.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | VA Tech | +2.5 | W by 7 | +9.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | N Carolina | +2.5 | W by 19 | +21.5 |
| 12/28 | Neutral | Kansas St | +3.0 | L by 9 | -6.0 |
Miss State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | SE Louisiana | -31.5 | W by 41 | +9.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Arizona | -9.0 | W by 7 | -2.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | LSU | +9.5 | L by 27 | -17.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | S Carolina | +6.0 | L by 7 | -1.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Alabama | +16.5 | L by 23 | -6.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | W Michigan | -21.5 | W by 13 | -8.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Arkansas | +7.0 | W by 4 | +11.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | Auburn | +6.5 | L by 14 | -7.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Kentucky | +5.5 | L by 21 | -15.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Texas A&M | +16.5 | L by 41 | -24.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | S Mississippi | -18.5 | W by 21 | +2.5 |
| 11/23 | Home | Mississippi | +10.0 | L by 10 | 0.0 |
| NCST -1.5 | Open | -2.0 | High | -3.0 |
| Last | -1.0 | Low | -1.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 183 games where the closing line favored the away team by 0.5 to 2.5 points. In these games:
- The team like NC State won the game 86 times (47.0%).
- The team like Mississippi State won the game 97 times (53.0%).
- The team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 104-76-3 (57.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 429 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like NC State did better against the spread, going 213-205-11 (51.0% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -1.0 | -1.5 | -- |
| Open | -2.0 | -2.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 09/11 07:05 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 09/11 07:05 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 06:16 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 09/11 06:11 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 05:50 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 05:44 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 09/11 05:25 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 09/11 04:54 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 09/11 04:14 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 09/11 04:11 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 03:56 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 09/11 03:53 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 02:14 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 01:41 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 12:41 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 12:15 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 10:32 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 09:24 AM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 09/11 09:17 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 09:04 AM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 09/11 08:08 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 07:41 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 07:20 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 01:47 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 01:24 AM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 09/10 06:23 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/10 01:34 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 09/10 01:04 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 09/10 11:15 AM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 09/10 11:02 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/10 10:17 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/10 10:08 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/10 09:11 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/09 07:47 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/09 07:34 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 09/09 06:02 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/09 05:45 PM | -- | (Pick) | -- |
| 09/09 05:20 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/09 04:35 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/09 01:24 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 09/09 01:09 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/09 12:45 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/09 12:04 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/09 11:34 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/09 11:15 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/09 10:24 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/09 10:04 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/09 09:54 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/09 09:13 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/09 08:24 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/09 07:47 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/09 04:44 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/09 04:34 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/09 03:44 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/09 02:44 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/08 10:44 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/08 10:35 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/08 10:15 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/08 09:34 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/08 09:04 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/08 07:54 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/08 07:24 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/08 07:14 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/08 06:44 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/08 03:50 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/08 01:23 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/08 11:02 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/08 08:02 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/08 02:26 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/07 04:55 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/07 04:41 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/07 04:05 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/07 03:54 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/07 02:54 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/07 02:44 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/07 12:11 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/07 10:54 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/07 10:38 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/07 10:36 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/07 10:15 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/07 09:44 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/07 09:04 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/07 08:44 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/07 08:34 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/07 07:54 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/07 07:24 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/07 07:16 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/07 06:44 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/07 06:15 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/07 06:04 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/07 05:24 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/07 05:07 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/07 04:24 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/07 04:01 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/07 02:44 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/06 10:34 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/06 10:25 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/06 09:54 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/06 09:44 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/06 09:24 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/06 08:54 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/06 08:34 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/06 08:24 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/06 07:54 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/06 07:02 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 06:54 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/06 06:34 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/06 06:15 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/06 05:54 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/06 05:04 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/06 04:36 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/06 04:16 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/06 03:34 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/06 03:04 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/06 02:44 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/06 02:24 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/06 01:54 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/06 01:14 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/06 01:04 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/06 12:45 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/06 12:14 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/06 11:54 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/06 11:34 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/06 09:55 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/06 09:34 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/06 08:54 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/06 03:35 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/05 11:50 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/05 09:32 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 09/05 09:31 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
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