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NC State at N Carolina
Sat Oct 24, 2020
12:00pm ET
Chapel Hill, NC
NC State at N Carolina: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: North Carolina by 15, Total Points: 61.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NCST | adv | UNC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-6-0 | 6-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-2-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 5-2-0 | 4-3-0 | |
| Away | 2-4-0 | 2-4-0 |
NC State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/31 | Away | Connecticut | -14.5 | W by 10 | -4.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Notre Dame | +7.0 | L by 21 | -14.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | VA Military | -43.0 | W by 38 | -5.0 |
| 09/22 | Away | Virginia | -7.5 | W by 3 | -4.5 |
| 09/29 | Home | Louisville | +3.5 | L by 3 | +0.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Marshall | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 10/14 | Away | Duke | +3.5 | L by 21 | -17.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Clemson | +10.0 | W by 7 | +17.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Miami | +6.5 | W by 14 | +20.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Wake Forest | -2.0 | W by 20 | +18.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | VA Tech | +2.5 | W by 7 | +9.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | N Carolina | +2.5 | W by 19 | +21.5 |
| 12/28 | Neutral | Kansas St | +3.0 | L by 9 | -6.0 |
N Carolina Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Neutral | S Carolina | -2.5 | W by 14 | +11.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | App State | -19.5 | W by 6 | -13.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Minnesota | -7.0 | W by 18 | +11.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Pittsburgh | -7.0 | W by 17 | +10.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | Syracuse | -9.5 | W by 33 | +23.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | Miami | -3.0 | W by 10 | +7.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Virginia | -24.0 | L by 4 | -28.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | GA Tech | -12.0 | L by 4 | -16.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Campbell | -38.5 | W by 52 | +13.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Duke | -10.0 | W by 2 | -8.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Clemson | +8.0 | L by 11 | -3.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | NC State | -2.5 | L by 19 | -21.5 |
| 12/27 | Neutral | W Virginia | +4.5 | L by 20 | -15.5 |
| UNC -15.0 | Open | -14.5 | High | -17.0 |
| Last | -14.5 | Low | -14.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 college football season there have been 145 games where the closing line favored the home team by 14.5 to 16.5 points. In these games:
- The team like North Carolina won the game 124 times (85.5%).
- The team like NC State won the game 21 times (14.5%).
- The team like North Carolina did better against the spread, going 76-69 (52.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.7 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 college football season there have been 2 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like NC State did better against the spread, going 2-0 (100.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 25.0 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -14.5 | -15.5 | -- |
| Open | -14.0 | -14.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/24 12:04 PM | -- | -15.5 | -- |
| 10/24 12:02 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 11:23 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 10:53 AM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 10:47 AM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 10:23 AM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 10:08 AM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 10:04 AM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 10/24 08:41 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 07:59 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 07:53 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 04:20 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 03:11 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 01:35 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 12:50 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 12:14 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 07:53 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 06:29 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 06:24 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 10/23 06:05 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 12:17 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 11:32 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 04:11 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 02:44 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 01:44 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 09:35 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 10:08 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 04:05 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 12:54 PM | -- | -15.5 | -- |
| 10/21 12:41 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 08:34 AM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 10/21 08:05 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 11:34 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 10/20 10:11 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 07:50 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 07:44 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 10/20 07:32 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 04:02 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 01:53 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 09:47 AM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 12:14 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 10/20 12:02 AM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 06:17 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 10:54 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 10/18 10:38 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 10:34 PM | -- | -16.0 | -- |
| 10/18 10:20 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 07:53 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 10/18 05:23 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 10/18 05:11 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
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