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Michigan at Illinois
Sat Oct 12, 2019
12:00pm ET
Champaign, IL
Michigan at Illinois: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Michigan by 24.5, Total Points: 49
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MICH | adv | ILL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-5-1 | 3-9-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-2-1 | 3-6-0 | |
| Streak | W4 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 2-4-1 | 0-7-0 | |
| Away | 7-1-0 | 3-2-0 |
Michigan Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | E Carolina | -35.5 | W by 27 | -8.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | UNLV | -38.0 | W by 28 | -10.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Bowling Grn | -41.0 | W by 25 | -16.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Rutgers | -24.0 | W by 24 | 0.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Nebraska | -17.5 | W by 38 | +20.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Minnesota | -19.0 | W by 42 | +23.0 |
| 10/14 | Home | Indiana | -32.5 | W by 45 | +12.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Michigan St | -25.5 | W by 49 | +23.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Purdue | -31.0 | W by 28 | -3.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Penn St | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Maryland | -17.5 | W by 7 | -10.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Ohio St | -3.0 | W by 6 | +3.0 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Iowa | -21.5 | W by 26 | +4.5 |
| 01/01 | Neutral | Alabama | -2.0 | W by 7 | +5.0 |
| 01/08 | Neutral | Washington | -5.5 | W by 21 | +15.5 |
Illinois Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Toledo | -7.5 | W by 2 | -5.5 |
| 09/08 | Away | Kansas | +3.5 | L by 11 | -7.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Penn St | +14.0 | L by 17 | -3.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Fla Atlantic | -16.0 | W by 6 | -10.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Purdue | -1.0 | L by 25 | -26.0 |
| 10/06 | Home | Nebraska | -3.0 | L by 13 | -16.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | Maryland | +13.0 | W by 3 | +16.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Wisconsin | +3.0 | L by 4 | -1.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Minnesota | +2.5 | W by 1 | +3.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Indiana | -4.5 | W by 3 | -1.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Iowa | +3.0 | L by 2 | +1.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Northwestern | -6.5 | L by 2 | -8.5 |
| MICH -24.5 | Open | -19.5 | High | -24.5 |
| Last | -24.0 | Low | -19.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 36 games where the closing line favored the away team by 23.5 to 25.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Michigan won the game 32 times (88.9%).
- The team like Illinois won the game 4 times (11.1%).
- The team like Illinois did better against the spread, going 20-15-1 (57.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.0 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 31 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Michigan did better against the spread, going 16-15 (51.6% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -24.5 | -24.0 | -- |
| Open | -20.0 | -20.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/12 12:01 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 11:55 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 11:54 AM | -- | -24.0 | -- |
| 10/12 11:06 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 10:51 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 10:22 AM | -23.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 09:55 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 09:23 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 09:14 AM | -- | -24.0 | -- |
| 10/12 07:49 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 06:54 AM | -- | -23.5 | -- |
| 10/12 06:36 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 05:27 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 04:21 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 03:54 AM | -- | -24.0 | -- |
| 10/12 03:39 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 02:24 AM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 10:21 PM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 10:04 PM | -- | -23.5 | -- |
| 10/11 09:46 PM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 09:24 PM | -- | -24.0 | -- |
| 10/11 08:34 PM | -- | -23.5 | -- |
| 10/11 08:11 PM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 07:54 PM | -- | -23.0 | -- |
| 10/11 06:31 PM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 05:19 PM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 02:23 PM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 01:21 PM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 10:34 PM | -- | -23.0 | -- |
| 10/10 10:20 PM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 10:04 PM | -- | -22.5 | -- |
| 10/10 07:48 PM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 07:14 PM | -- | -22.5 | -- |
| 10/10 07:03 PM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 06:14 PM | -- | -22.5 | -- |
| 10/10 05:36 PM | -- | -22.5 | -- |
| 10/10 05:26 PM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 03:24 PM | -- | -22.5 | -- |
| 10/10 01:34 PM | -- | -22.5 | -- |
| 10/10 11:44 AM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 09:11 AM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 12:20 AM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/09 10:02 PM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/09 04:34 PM | -- | -22.5 | -- |
| 10/09 04:27 PM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/09 03:44 PM | -- | -22.5 | -- |
| 10/09 03:15 PM | -- | -22.5 | -- |
| 10/09 09:24 AM | -- | -22.5 | -- |
| 10/09 09:04 AM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/09 08:02 AM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/08 03:27 PM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/08 02:06 PM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/08 01:24 PM | -- | -21.5 | -- |
| 10/08 01:08 PM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/08 12:44 PM | -- | -21.5 | -- |
| 10/08 12:33 PM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/08 11:12 AM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/07 09:17 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/07 07:14 PM | -- | -21.5 | -- |
| 10/07 04:04 PM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 10/07 03:52 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/07 01:34 PM | -- | -20.5 | -- |
| 10/07 01:16 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/07 12:24 PM | -- | -20.0 | -- |
| 10/07 12:12 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
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