NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHI MIL
Points 112.6 114.5
Total Points   227.1
Points From 2-Pointers 56.4 55.3
Points From 3-Pointers 37.0 39.3
Points From Free Throws 19.3 20.0
Shooting PHI MIL
Field Goals Made 40.5 40.7
Field Goals Attempted 90.2 85.3
Field Goal % 44.9% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made 28.2 27.6
2 Pointers Attempted 55.6 49.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.6% 56.1%
3 Pointers Made 12.3 13.1
3 Pointers Attempted 34.5 36.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 19.3 20.0
Free Throws Attempted 23.6 25.6
Free Throw % 81.8% 78.0%
Ball Control PHI MIL
Rebounds 48.1 50.6
Rebounds - Defensive 36.2 39.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 11.1
Turnovers 9.5 12.0
Blocked Shots 5.2 5.4
Steals 6.6 5.1
Fouls 18.8 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHI MIL
Total Possessions 100.9
Effective Scoring Chances 103.4 100.0
% of Possessions with PHI MIL
2 Point Attempt 48.4% 43.2%
3 Point Attempt 30.0% 31.6%
Player Fouled 16.9% 18.6%
Turnover 9.4% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 5.1% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHI MIL
Shot Blocked 6.5% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 23.4%